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核能转型与收入水平不同的 28 个核电生产国家的 CO 排放关系。

Nuclear energy transition and CO emissions nexus in 28 nuclear electricity-producing countries with different income levels.

机构信息

Department of Finance, College of Business Administration, Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University, Alkharj, Saudi Arabia.

出版信息

PeerJ. 2022 Jul 25;10:e13780. doi: 10.7717/peerj.13780. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Nuclear energy carries the least environmental effects compared to fossil fuels and most other renewable energy sources. Therefore, nuclear energy transition (NET) would reduce pollution emissions. The present study investigates the role of the NET on CO emissions and tests the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in the 28 nuclear electricity-producing countries from 1996-2019.

METHODS

Along with a focus on the whole panel, countries are divided into three income groups using the World Bank classification, ., three Lower-Middle-Income (LMI), eight Upper-Middle-Income (UMI), and 17 High-Income (HI) countries. The cross-sectional dependence panel data estimation techniques are applied for the long and short run analyses.

RESULTS

In the long run, the EKC is corroborated in HI countries' panel with estimated positive and negative coefficients of economic growth and its square variable. The Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, and the USA are found in the 2 stage of the EKC. However, the remaining HI economies are facing 1 phase of the EKC. Moreover, economic growth has a monotonic positive effect on CO emissions in LMI and UMI economies. NET reduces CO emissions in UMI and HI economies. On the other hand, NET has an insignificant effect on CO emissions in LMI economies. In the short run, the EKC is validated and NET has a negative effect on CO emissions in HI countries and the whole panel. However, NET could not affect CO emissions in LMI and UMI countries. Based on the long-run results, we recommend enhancing nuclear energy transition in UMI and HI economies to reduce CO emissions. In addition, the rest of the world should also build capacity for the nuclear energy transition to save the world from global warming.

摘要

背景

核能相较于化石燃料和大多数其他可再生能源,对环境的影响最小。因此,核能转型(NET)将减少污染排放。本研究调查了 NET 对 CO 排放的作用,并检验了环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)在 1996-2019 年间的 28 个核能发电国家的适用性。

方法

本研究关注整个面板,同时根据世界银行的分类,将各国分为三组,分别是三个中低收入(LMI)国家、八个中高收入(UMI)国家和 17 个高收入(HI)国家。采用横截面依存面板数据估计技术进行长期和短期分析。

结果

在长期内,EKC 在 HI 国家的面板中得到验证,经济增长及其平方变量的估计系数为正和负。荷兰、瑞典、瑞士和美国被发现处于 EKC 的第二阶段。然而,其余 HI 经济体正处于 EKC 的第一阶段。此外,经济增长对 LMI 和 UMI 经济体的 CO 排放具有单调正效应。NET 减少了 UMI 和 HI 经济体的 CO 排放。另一方面,NET 对 LMI 经济体的 CO 排放没有显著影响。在短期,EKC 得到验证,NET 对 HI 国家和整个面板的 CO 排放具有负效应。然而,NET 无法影响 LMI 和 UMI 国家的 CO 排放。根据长期结果,我们建议加强 UMI 和 HI 经济体的核能转型,以减少 CO 排放。此外,世界其他地区也应建立核能转型能力,以避免全球变暖。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1c52/9332342/5be95b6a94eb/peerj-10-13780-g001.jpg

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