Nesting success of red-winged blackbirds () in marshes in an anthropogenic landscape.

Recent analyses show significant population declines in many abundant avian species, especially marsh-nesting species including the red-winged blackbird (RWBL). Hypothesized causes include reduced nesting success resulting from changing land-use patterns and exposure to contaminants. Our goal was to test the hypothesis that landscape and nest characteristics as well as exposure to polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) correlate with nesting success. From 2008 to 2014, we measured clutch size, egg and nestling mass, hatching and fledging success and daily survival of 1293 RWBL nests from 32 marshes in the Hudson River valley of New York. Using generalized linear effect and survival models, we found that: (i) Julian date was negatively related to hatching success and clutch size but positively related to egg mass; (ii) nest height was negatively related to hatching success; (iii) nestling mass decreased with increased nest density and distance to edges; (iv) fledging success was significantly lower in nests closer to the ground that were far from water; and (v) clutch size and daily survival were higher in nests farther from water. Results showed that nesting success was correlated with variables associated with flooding, population density and predation and provided no support for the predicted negative effects of PCB exposure.