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为实施紧急应对社会保护措施提供决策依据的国际证据。

International evidence to inform decision making on implementing urgent response social protection measures.

机构信息

Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Department of Economics, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.

出版信息

Psychol Health Med. 2022 Jan-Dec;27(sup1):219-238. doi: 10.1080/13548506.2022.2108088. Epub 2022 Aug 3.

Abstract

This paper summarises evidence from a rapid review of international findings on the effects of cash transfers. The learnings were used to inform the design of urgent response social protection during the COVID-19 pandemic. The summary demonstrates that in response to widespread disruption, cash transfers have broad benefits for children, adults, and the wider economy. First, cash grants for child support have been shown to reduce hunger, increase dietary diversity, and reduce secondary school dropout. Transfers may also reduce child malnutrition. Second, there is some evidence that cash grants could encourage job search and economic activity. By contrast, there is little evidence that grants discourage adults from working, or increase spending on temptation goods (alcohol, tobacco). Third, for the wider economy, there is little evidence that grants will increase inflation, while some studies find that transfers create a fiscal multiplier and stimulate the local economy. Finally, we review evidence on design considerations and find that unconditional cash transfers (UCTs) are particularly well suited to rapid response when compared to conditional cash transfers (CCTs). Outside crisis settings, there is some evidence that getting recipients to enrol children in school or attend health check-ups improves these outcomes more than unconditional grants. However, the differences are small and the additional costs of implementing conditions outweigh these benefits in circumstances where response is required urgently. Comparing evidence on cash grants and food vouchers suggests both achieve similar improvements in nutrition; however, cash transfers are likely to be more cost-effective for governments, especially where a system to distribute grants is already set up.

摘要

本文总结了对现金转移影响的国际研究快速审查的证据。这些经验教训被用于为 COVID-19 大流行期间的紧急响应社会保护措施提供信息。该总结表明,应对广泛的破坏,现金转移对儿童、成年人和更广泛的经济都有广泛的好处。首先,为儿童抚养提供的现金赠款已被证明可以减少饥饿,增加饮食多样性,并减少中学辍学率。转移也可能减少儿童营养不良。其次,有一些证据表明,现金赠款可以鼓励寻找工作和经济活动。相比之下,几乎没有证据表明赠款会阻止成年人工作,或增加对诱惑品(酒精、烟草)的支出。第三,对于更广泛的经济,几乎没有证据表明赠款会增加通货膨胀,而一些研究发现转移创造了财政乘数并刺激了当地经济。最后,我们审查了关于设计考虑因素的证据,发现无条件现金转移(UCT)与有条件现金转移(CCT)相比,特别适合快速响应。在危机环境之外,有一些证据表明,让接受者让孩子入学或参加健康检查可以改善这些结果,而无条件赠款则要好得多。然而,差异很小,在需要紧急响应的情况下,实施条件的额外成本超过了这些好处。比较现金赠款和食品券的证据表明,两者都能在营养方面取得类似的改善;然而,对于政府来说,现金转移可能更具成本效益,特别是在已经建立了分配赠款系统的情况下。

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