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两项关于 COVID-19 疫苗犹豫随时间变化的大型全球研究:文化、不确定性规避和疫苗副作用担忧。

Two large-scale global studies on COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy over time: Culture, uncertainty avoidance, and vaccine side-effect concerns.

机构信息

MIT Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

出版信息

J Pers Soc Psychol. 2023 Apr;124(4):683-706. doi: 10.1037/pspa0000320. Epub 2022 Aug 4.

Abstract

This article presents one of the largest and broadest investigations into COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, a burning issue that poses a global threat. First, I provide a timely review of the predictors of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy identified by prior studies. More importantly, I advance a dynamic, cultural psychological perspective to examine how the cultural dimension of uncertainty avoidance partly explains national differences in initial vaccine hesitancy. To track global vaccine hesitancy over time, I leveraged a daily survey of 979,971 individuals in 67 countries/territories (October 2020 to March 2021) and another daily survey of over 11 million individuals in 244 countries/territories (December 2020 to March 2021). To increase sample representativeness, both surveys used algorithms to correct for nonresponse bias and coverage bias. Consistent with my theoretical perspective, people in higher (vs. lower) uncertainty avoidance cultures had higher vaccine hesitancy (late 2020) as a function of greater vaccine side-effect concerns, but these differences decreased over time as COVID-19 vaccine uptake became prevalent. These findings were robust after controlling for other cultural dimensions, demographics, COVID-19 severity, government response stringency, socioeconomic indicators, common vaccine coverage, and religiosity. Understanding cultural differences in vaccine hesitancy is important, as delaying vaccination for even a short period can increase morbidity and mortality. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

摘要

本文对 COVID-19 疫苗犹豫这一热点问题进行了迄今为止最大规模和最广泛的研究之一。首先,我对先前研究确定的 COVID-19 疫苗犹豫的预测因素进行了及时回顾。更重要的是,我提出了一种动态的、文化心理学视角,以检验不确定性回避的文化维度如何部分解释了各国在初始疫苗犹豫方面的差异。为了跟踪全球范围内随时间推移的疫苗犹豫情况,我利用了一项对 67 个国家/地区的 979,971 个人(2020 年 10 月至 2021 年 3 月)进行的每日调查和另一项对 244 个国家/地区的超过 1100 万人(2020 年 12 月至 2021 年 3 月)进行的每日调查。为了提高样本代表性,这两项调查都使用了算法来纠正无反应偏差和覆盖偏差。与我的理论观点一致,在较高(而非较低)不确定性回避文化中的人们在 2020 年末由于对疫苗副作用的担忧更大而对疫苗犹豫不决,但随着 COVID-19 疫苗接种的普及,这些差异随着时间的推移而减少。在控制了其他文化维度、人口统计学、COVID-19 严重程度、政府反应力度、社会经济指标、常见疫苗接种率和宗教信仰等因素后,这些发现仍然成立。了解疫苗犹豫的文化差异很重要,因为即使是短时间的疫苗接种延迟也会增加发病率和死亡率。(PsycInfo 数据库记录(c)2023 APA,保留所有权利)。

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