Biostatistics Research Group, Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.
Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
PLoS One. 2022 Aug 4;17(8):e0265709. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0265709. eCollection 2022.
The Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) is a widely used data resource, representative in demographic profile, with accurate death recordings but it is unclear if mortality rates within CPRD GOLD are similar to rates in the general population. Rates may additionally be affected by selection bias caused by the requirement that a cohort have a minimum lookback window, i.e. observation time prior to start of at-risk follow-up. Standardised Mortality Ratios (SMRs) were calculated incorporating published population reference rates from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), using Poisson regression with rates in CPRD GOLD contrasted to ONS rates, stratified by age, calendar year and sex. An overall SMR was estimated along with SMRs presented for cohorts with different lookback windows (1, 2, 5, 10 years). SMRs were stratified by calendar year, length of follow-up and age group. Mortality rates in a random sample of 1 million CPRD GOLD patients were slightly lower than the national population [SMR = 0.980 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.973, 0.987)]. Cohorts with observational lookback had SMRs below one [1 year of lookback; SMR = 0.905 (0.898, 0.912), 2 years; SMR = 0.881 (0.874, 0.888), 5 years; SMR = 0.849 (0.841, 0.857), 10 years; SMR = 0.837 (0.827, 0.847)]. Mortality rates in the first two years after patient entry into CPRD were higher than the general population, while SMRs dropped below one thereafter. Mortality rates in CPRD, using simple entry requirements, are similar to rates seen in the English population. The requirement of at least a single year of lookback results in lower mortality rates compared to national estimates.
临床实践研究数据链(CPRD)是一个广泛使用的数据资源,在人口统计学特征方面具有代表性,并且能够准确记录死亡情况,但尚不清楚 CPRD GOLD 中的死亡率是否与一般人群中的死亡率相似。死亡率可能还会受到选择偏差的影响,这种偏差是由于队列必须具有最小回溯窗口(即在开始进行风险随访之前的观察时间)这一要求造成的。使用泊松回归,将 CPRD GOLD 中的比率与 ONS 比率进行对比,并按年龄、日历年份和性别进行分层,同时纳入了 ONS 公布的人群参考比率,计算了标准化死亡率(SMR)。计算了总体 SMR 以及具有不同回溯窗口(1 年、2 年、5 年和 10 年)的队列的 SMR。SMR 还按日历年份、随访时间长度和年龄组进行分层。在 CPRD GOLD 中随机抽取的 100 万名患者的死亡率略低于全国人口[SMR = 0.980(95%置信区间[CI]:0.973,0.987)]。具有观察性回溯的队列的 SMR 低于 1[1 年回溯;SMR = 0.905(0.898,0.912),2 年回溯;SMR = 0.881(0.874,0.888),5 年回溯;SMR = 0.849(0.841,0.857),10 年回溯;SMR = 0.837(0.827,0.847)]。患者进入 CPRD 后的头两年的死亡率高于一般人群,此后 SMR 则降至 1 以下。使用简单的进入要求,CPRD 的死亡率与英国人群的死亡率相似。至少有一年回溯的要求导致死亡率低于国家估计值。