Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022 Aug 8;8(8):CD014936. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD014936.pub2.
BACKGROUND: Smoking is a leading cause of cardiovascular disease (CVD), particularly coronary heart disease (CHD). However, quitting smoking may prevent secondary CVD events in people already diagnosed with CHD. OBJECTIVES: To examine the impact of smoking cessation on death from CVD and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), in people with incident CHD. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Tobacco Addiction Group's Specialised Register, CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, and the trials registries clinicaltrials.gov and the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform. We ran all searches from database inception to 15 April 2021. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included cohort studies, and both cluster- and individually randomised controlled trials of at least six months' duration. We treated all included studies as cohort studies and analysed them by smoking status at follow-up. Eligible studies had to recruit adults (> 18 years) with diagnosed CHD and who smoked tobacco at diagnosis, and assess whether they quit or continued smoking during the study. Studies had to measure at least one of our included outcomes with at least six months' follow-up. Our primary outcomes were death from CVD and MACE. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, new-onset angina and change in quality of life. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: We followed standard Cochrane methods for screening and data extraction. We assessed the risk of bias for the primary outcomes using the ROBINS-I tool. We compared the incidence of death from CVD and of MACE (primary outcomes) between participants who quit smoking versus those who continued to smoke for each included study that reported these outcomes. We also assessed differences in all-cause mortality, incidence of non-fatal myocardial infarction, incidence of non-fatal stroke and new onset angina. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). For our outcome, change in quality of life, we calculated the pooled standardised mean difference (SMD) and 95% CI for the difference in change in quality of life from baseline to follow-up between those who had quit smoking and those who had continued to smoke. For all meta-analyses we used a generic inverse variance random-effects model and quantified statistical heterogeneity using the I²statistic. We assessed the certainty of evidence for our primary outcomes using the eight GRADE considerations relevant to non-randomised studies. MAIN RESULTS: We included 68 studies, consisting of 80,702 participants. For both primary outcomes, smoking cessation was associated with a decreased risk compared with continuous smoking: CVD death (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.75; I² = 62%; 18 studies, 17,982 participants; moderate-certainty evidence) and MACE (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.71; I² = 84%; 15 studies, 20,290 participants; low-certainty evidence). These findings were robust to our planned sensitivity analyses. Through subgroup analysis, for example comparing adjusted versus non-adjusted estimates, we found no evidence of differences in the effect size. While there was substantial heterogeneity, this was primarily in magnitude rather than the direction of the effect estimates. Overall, we judged 11 (16%) studies to be at moderate risk of bias and 18 (26%) at serious risk, primarily due to possible confounding. There was also some evidence of funnel plot asymmetry for MACE outcomes. For these reasons, we rated our certainty in the estimates for CVD death as moderate and MACE as low. For our secondary outcomes, smoking cessation was associated with a decreased risk in all-cause mortality (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.66; I² = 58%; 48 studies, 59,354 participants), non-fatal myocardial infarction (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.72; I² = 2%; 24 studies, 23,264 participants) and non-fatal stroke (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.90; I² = 0%; 9 studies, 11,352 participants). As only one study reported new onset of angina, we did not conduct meta-analysis, but this study reported a lower risk in people who stopped smoking. Quitting smoking was not associated with a worsening of quality of life and suggested improvement in quality of life, with the lower bound of the CI also consistent with no difference (SMD 0.12, 95% CI 0.01 to 0.24; I² = 48%; 8 studies, 3182 participants). AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: There is moderate-certainty evidence that smoking cessation is associated with a reduction of approximately one-third in the risk of recurrent cardiovascular disease in people who stop smoking at diagnosis. This association may be causal, based on the link between smoking cessation and restoration of endothelial and platelet function, where dysfunction of both can result in increased likelihood of CVD events. Our results provide evidence that there is a decreased risk of secondary CVD events in those who quit smoking compared with those who continue, and that there is a suggested improvement in quality of life as a result of quitting smoking. Additional studies that account for confounding, such as use of secondary CVD prevention medication, would strengthen the evidence in this area.
背景:吸烟是心血管疾病(CVD)的主要原因,特别是冠心病(CHD)。然而,戒烟可能会预防已经诊断出 CHD 的患者发生二次 CVD 事件。
目的:研究已确诊 CHD 患者中戒烟对 CVD 死亡和主要不良心血管事件(MACE)的影响。
检索方法:我们检索了 Cochrane 烟草成瘾组的专业注册库、CENTRAL、MEDLINE、Embase、Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature,以及临床试验注册数据库 clinicaltrials.gov 和国际临床试验注册平台。我们从数据库建立到 2021 年 4 月 15 日进行了所有检索。
入选标准:我们纳入了队列研究,以及至少持续 6 个月的簇和个体随机对照试验。我们将所有纳入的研究视为队列研究,并根据随访时的吸烟状况进行分析。合格的研究必须招募成年人(>18 岁),这些人在诊断时患有 CHD,且在诊断时吸烟,并评估他们在研究期间是否戒烟或继续吸烟。研究必须至少随访 6 个月,并评估我们纳入的至少一个结局,包括 CVD 死亡和 MACE。次要结局包括全因死亡率、非致死性心肌梗死、非致死性卒中和新发心绞痛以及生活质量的变化。
数据收集和分析:我们遵循标准的 Cochrane 方法进行筛选和数据提取。我们使用 ROBINS-I 工具评估主要结局的偏倚风险。我们比较了每个报告这些结局的纳入研究中戒烟与继续吸烟的参与者之间 CVD 死亡和 MACE(主要结局)的发生率。我们还评估了全因死亡率、非致死性心肌梗死发生率、非致死性卒中和新发心绞痛的差异。我们计算了风险比(HR)和 95%置信区间(95%CI)。对于我们的结局,生活质量的变化,我们计算了戒烟与继续吸烟的参与者之间基线到随访时生活质量变化的标准化均数差(SMD)和 95%CI。对于所有的荟萃分析,我们使用通用逆方差随机效应模型,并使用 I²统计量量化统计异质性。我们使用与非随机研究相关的八项 GRADE 考虑因素评估主要结局的证据确定性。
主要结果:我们纳入了 68 项研究,包括 80702 名参与者。对于这两个主要结局,与持续吸烟相比,戒烟与降低风险相关:CVD 死亡(HR 0.61,95%CI 0.49 至 0.75;I²=62%;18 项研究,17982 名参与者;中等确定性证据)和 MACE(HR 0.57,95%CI 0.45 至 0.71;I²=84%;15 项研究,20290 名参与者;低确定性证据)。这些发现通过我们的计划敏感性分析得到了证实。通过亚组分析,例如比较调整后的和非调整后的估计值,我们没有发现效应大小的差异。尽管存在很大的异质性,但主要是在幅度上,而不是在效应估计值的方向上。总体而言,我们认为 11 项(16%)研究存在中度偏倚风险,18 项(26%)研究存在严重偏倚风险,主要是由于可能存在混杂因素。对于 MACE 结局,也存在一些漏斗图不对称的证据。出于这些原因,我们将 CVD 死亡估计值的确定性评为中等,将 MACE 的确定性评为低等。对于我们的次要结局,戒烟与全因死亡率降低相关(HR 0.60,95%CI 0.55 至 0.66;I²=58%;48 项研究,59354 名参与者)、非致死性心肌梗死(HR 0.64,95%CI 0.58 至 0.72;I²=2%;24 项研究,23264 名参与者)和非致死性卒中等(HR 0.70,95%CI 0.53 至 0.90;I²=0%;9 项研究,11352 名参与者)。由于只有一项研究报告了新发心绞痛,我们没有进行荟萃分析,但这项研究报告了戒烟者的风险较低。戒烟与生活质量恶化无关,并且建议改善生活质量,CI 的下限也与无差异一致(SMD 0.12,95%CI 0.01 至 0.24;I²=48%;8 项研究,3182 名参与者)。
作者结论:有中等确定性证据表明,在诊断时戒烟的患者中,再次发生心血管疾病的风险降低约三分之一。这种关联可能是因果关系,因为戒烟与内皮和血小板功能的恢复有关,而这两种功能的异常都会增加 CVD 事件的发生几率。我们的研究结果表明,与继续吸烟的患者相比,戒烟的患者发生二次 CVD 事件的风险较低,并且戒烟可能会改善生活质量。考虑到混杂因素(如使用二级 CVD 预防药物)的额外研究将加强这方面的证据。
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