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中国多环境变量对PM2.5的影响及预测

Influence and prediction of PM2.5 through multiple environmental variables in China.

作者信息

Jin Haoyu, Chen Xiaohong, Zhong Ruida, Liu Moyang

机构信息

School of Civil Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China; Guangdong Engineering Technology Research Center of Water Security Regulation and Control for Southern China, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China; Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Water Security in Southern China of Guangdong High Education Institute, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China.

School of Civil Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China; Guangdong Engineering Technology Research Center of Water Security Regulation and Control for Southern China, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China; Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Water Security in Southern China of Guangdong High Education Institute, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2022 Nov 25;849:157910. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157910. Epub 2022 Aug 6.

Abstract

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is an important indicator to measure the degree of air pollution. With the pursuit of sustainable development of China's economy and society, air pollution has been paid more and more attention. The spatial distribution of PM2.5 is affected by multiple factors. In this study, we selected Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), precipitation, temperature, wind speed and elevation data to analyze the impact of each variable on PM2.5 in different regions of China. The results show that the high-value areas of PM2.5 were mainly concentrated in the North China Plain, the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Plain, the Sichuan Basin, and the Tarim Basin. PM2.5 showed an upward trend in North China, Northeast China and Northwest China, while in most of South China, especially the Sichuan Basin, PM2.5 showed a downward trend. Therefore, the northern region of China needs to take measures to curb the growth of PM2.5. In Northwest China, wind speed and temperature had a greater impact on PM2.5. In North China, wind speed had a greater impact on PM2.5. In southern China, temperature and NDVI had a greater impact on PM2.5. The deep learning model can better simulate the spatial distribution of PM2.5 based on the selected variables. The clustering effect of single variable is better than multivariate spatial information clustering based on principal component analysis (PCA). It is difficult to explain which variable has the greatest impact on PCA clustering. This study can provide an important reference for PM2.5 prevention and control in different regions of China.

摘要

细颗粒物(PM2.5)是衡量空气污染程度的重要指标。随着中国经济社会可持续发展的推进,空气污染问题越来越受到关注。PM2.5的空间分布受多种因素影响。本研究选取归一化植被指数(NDVI)、降水量、温度、风速和海拔数据,分析各变量对中国不同地区PM2.5的影响。结果表明,PM2.5高值区主要集中在华北平原、长江中下游平原、四川盆地和塔里木盆地。PM2.5在华北、东北和西北地区呈上升趋势,而在华南大部分地区,尤其是四川盆地,PM2.5呈下降趋势。因此,中国北方地区需要采取措施抑制PM2.5的增长。在西北地区,风速和温度对PM2.5影响较大。在华北地区,风速对PM2.5影响较大。在华南地区,温度和NDVI对PM2.5影响较大。基于所选变量,深度学习模型能更好地模拟PM2.5的空间分布。单变量的聚类效果优于基于主成分分析(PCA)的多变量空间信息聚类。很难解释哪个变量对PCA聚类影响最大。本研究可为中国不同地区PM2.5的防治提供重要参考。

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