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猴痘的临床特征、住院和死亡情况:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Clinical features, hospitalisation and deaths associated with monkeypox: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Escuela de Medicina, Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas, Lima, Perú.

Sociedad Científica de Estudiantes de Medicina de la Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas, Lima, Perú.

出版信息

Ann Clin Microbiol Antimicrob. 2022 Aug 10;21(1):36. doi: 10.1186/s12941-022-00527-1.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

A multicountry monkeypox disease (MPX) outbreak began in May 2022 in Europe, leading to the assessment as a potential Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) on June 23, 2022. Some observational studies have partially characterised clinical features, hospitalisations, and deaths. However, no systematic reviews of this MPX outbreak have been published.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review with meta-analysis, using five databases to assess clinical features, hospitalisations, complications and deaths of MPX confirmed or probable cases. Observational studies, case reports and case series, were included. We performed a random-effects model meta-analysis to calculate the pooled prevalence and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). In addition, we carried out a subgroup analysis according to the continents and a sensitivity analysis excluding studies classified as having a high risk of bias.

RESULTS

A total of 19 articles were included, using only 12 articles in the quantitative synthesis (meta-analysis). For 1958 patients, rash (93%, 95% CI 80-100%), fever (72%, 95% CI 30-99%), pruritus (65%, 95% CI 47-81%), and lymphadenopathy (62%, 47-76%), were the most prevalent manifestations. Among the patients, 35% (95% CI 14-59%) were hospitalised. Some 4% (95% CI 1-9%) of hospitalised patients had fatal outcomes (case fatality rate, CFR).

CONCLUSION

MPX is spreading rapidly, with a third of hospitalised patients, but less than 5% with fatal outcomes. As this zoonotic virus spreads globally, countries must urgently prepare human resources, infrastructure and facilities to treat patients according to the emerging guidelines and the most reliable clinical information.

摘要

简介

2022 年 5 月,多国猴痘疾病(MPX)疫情在欧洲爆发,导致 2022 年 6 月 23 日评估为国际关注的潜在公共卫生紧急事件(PHEIC)。一些观察性研究部分描述了临床特征、住院和死亡情况。然而,尚未发表关于此次猴痘疫情的系统评价。

方法

我们进行了一项系统评价和荟萃分析,使用五个数据库评估了已确诊或可能的猴痘病例的临床特征、住院、并发症和死亡情况。纳入了观察性研究、病例报告和病例系列。我们使用随机效应模型荟萃分析计算了汇总患病率和 95%置信区间(95%CI)。此外,我们根据大陆进行了亚组分析,并进行了敏感性分析,排除了被归类为高偏倚风险的研究。

结果

共纳入 19 篇文章,仅使用 12 篇文章进行定量综合分析(荟萃分析)。对于 1958 名患者,皮疹(93%,95%CI 80-100%)、发热(72%,95%CI 30-99%)、瘙痒(65%,95%CI 47-81%)和淋巴结病(62%,47-76%)是最常见的表现。在这些患者中,35%(95%CI 14-59%)住院。约 4%(95%CI 1-9%)住院患者死亡(病死率,CFR)。

结论

猴痘正在迅速传播,三分之一的住院患者,但不到 5%的患者死亡。由于这种人畜共患病毒在全球范围内传播,各国必须紧急准备人力资源、基础设施和设施,根据不断发展的指南和最可靠的临床信息治疗患者。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d52f/9364543/3181dfa1b47e/12941_2022_527_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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