Department of Preventive and Social Medicine, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand
Faculty of Environment, Society and Design, Lincoln University, Christchurch, New Zealand.
Tob Control. 2024 Feb 20;33(2):215-220. doi: 10.1136/tc-2022-057462.
One policy option to reduce the density of tobacco retailers is to restrict the distance retailers can be located to each other. This study examined the impacts of proximity limits of 150 m, 300 m and 450 m between tobacco retailers in New Zealand and if critical threshold reduction in tobacco retailers of 90%-95% would be achieved.
Using a spatial modelling approach, tobacco retailers were randomly removed based on a minimum distance between retailers until there were zero retailers within each scenario's minimum distance. This was repeated for all three proximity limit scenarios and descriptive statistics are provided for each.
Implementation of 150 m, 300 m or 450 m distance restrictions between tobacco retailers would result in an average reduction in availability of 35%, 49% and 58%, respectively. On average, the current median distance to the closest retailer increases from 110 m to 377 m, to 568 m or to 718 m, respectively. The average median distance from a retailer to the closest school also increases across the three proximity limits, from 1017 m to 1087 m, to 1149 m or to 1231 m, respectively. Reduced clustering in deprived areas would be most apparent if a 450 m restriction policy was implemented.
A proximity limit of 450 m would reduce retailers by 58%, but would not reach proposed critical behaviour-change threshold of 90%-95% required to reduce smoking prevalence independently. There is a need for a combination of policies, which focus on promoting equity, to achieve this bold endgame goal.
减少烟草零售商密度的政策选择之一是限制零售商之间的距离。本研究考察了新西兰烟草零售商之间的距离限制为 150 米、300 米和 450 米的影响,如果达到 90%-95%的关键零售商减少阈值,会产生什么结果。
使用空间建模方法,根据零售商之间的最小距离随机删除烟草零售商,直到在每个场景的最小距离内没有零售商为止。这对所有三个接近限制场景重复进行,并提供了每个场景的描述性统计数据。
实施 150 米、300 米或 450 米的烟草零售商距离限制,将分别导致可用性平均减少 35%、49%和 58%。平均而言,目前到最近零售商的中位数距离从 110 米增加到 377 米,增加到 568 米或增加到 718 米。三个接近限制中,零售商到最近学校的中位数距离也会增加,从 1017 米增加到 1087 米,增加到 1149 米或增加到 1231 米。如果实施 450 米的限制政策,贫困地区的零售商分布将明显减少聚类。
450 米的接近限制将使零售商减少 58%,但不会达到独立降低吸烟率所需的 90%-95%的拟议行为改变阈值。需要结合政策,重点促进公平,以实现这一大胆的终局目标。