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烟草镇:降低烟草零售商密度政策选项的计算模型

Tobacco Town: Computational Modeling of Policy Options to Reduce Tobacco Retailer Density.

作者信息

Luke Douglas A, Hammond Ross A, Combs Todd, Sorg Amy, Kasman Matt, Mack-Crane Austen, Ribisl Kurt M, Henriksen Lisa

机构信息

Douglas A. Luke, Todd Combs, and Amy Sorg are with the Center for Public Health System Science, George Warren Brown School of Social Work, Washington University in St Louis, St Louis, MO. Ross A. Hammond, Matt Kasman, and Austen Mack-Crane are with Center on Social Dynamics and Policy, Brookings Institution, Washington, DC. Kurt M. Ribisl is with the Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill. Lisa Henriksen is with Stanford Prevention Research Center, Stanford University, School of Medicine, Stanford, CA.

出版信息

Am J Public Health. 2017 May;107(5):740-746. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2017.303685.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To identify the behavioral mechanisms and effects of tobacco control policies designed to reduce tobacco retailer density.

METHODS

We developed the Tobacco Town agent-based simulation model to examine 4 types of retailer reduction policies: (1) random retailer reduction, (2) restriction by type of retailer, (3) limiting proximity of retailers to schools, and (4) limiting proximity of retailers to each other. The model examined the effects of these policies alone and in combination across 4 different types of towns, defined by 2 levels of population density (urban vs suburban) and 2 levels of income (higher vs lower).

RESULTS

Model results indicated that reduction of retailer density has the potential to decrease accessibility of tobacco products by driving up search and purchase costs. Policy effects varied by town type: proximity policies worked better in dense, urban towns whereas retailer type and random retailer reduction worked better in less-dense, suburban settings.

CONCLUSIONS

Comprehensive retailer density reduction policies have excellent potential to reduce the public health burden of tobacco use in communities.

摘要

目的

确定旨在降低烟草零售商密度的烟草控制政策的行为机制和效果。

方法

我们开发了基于主体的烟草小镇模拟模型,以检验4种零售商减少政策:(1)随机减少零售商;(2)按零售商类型进行限制;(3)限制零售商与学校的距离;(4)限制零售商之间的距离。该模型考察了这些政策单独实施以及组合实施时在4种不同类型城镇中的效果,这些城镇由人口密度(城市与郊区)和收入水平(高与低)的2个层次定义。

结果

模型结果表明,降低零售商密度有可能通过提高搜索和购买成本来降低烟草产品的可及性。政策效果因城镇类型而异:距离政策在人口密集的城市城镇效果更好,而零售商类型和随机减少零售商政策在人口密度较低的郊区环境中效果更好。

结论

全面的零售商密度降低政策在减轻社区烟草使用的公共卫生负担方面具有巨大潜力。

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