Center for Energy Environment & Economy Research, School of Management, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China.
Research Center for Economic Development and Environment of the Yellow River Basin, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jul 29;19(15):9315. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19159315.
In the context of the global pandemic, the development of tourism in the Yellow River Basin is constrained by the dual mechanisms of the decline in the quality of public service and the deterioration of the ecological environment. In order to promote the high-quality development of the ecological environment in the Yellow River Basin, this paper studies the coordinated development of tourism, the ecological environment and public service in the Yellow River Basin by treating tourism, the ecological environment and public service as a whole. Based on the coupling coordination function GM (1,1) grey prediction method and PVAR model, we discuss the characteristics of spatio-temporal differences, evolutionary trends and the interaction mechanism of the coupling coordination degree (CCD) of tourism-ecological environment-public service in nine provinces along the Yellow River Basin in China from 2008 to 2019. The results show that tourism and public service in the Yellow River Basin are closely related, and the protection of the ecological environment and tourism development are not contradictory. In terms of time, the overall trend is stable and upward from the perspective of the CCD of the three systems; in terms of space, Henan, Shandong, and Sichuan provinces have a relatively high level of CCD. While Qinghai, Gansu, Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi and Shanxi provinces have a lower level of CCD, which shows an upward trend from upstream to downstream in the space. The evolutionary trend of the CCD of the three systems in the basin will be upward in all provinces except for the Shandong province in the next five years. Tourism can promote both the ecological environment and public service from the perspective of the mutual influence mechanism.
在全球大流行的背景下，黄河流域旅游业的发展受到公共服务质量下降和生态环境恶化的双重机制的制约。为了促进黄河流域生态环境的高质量发展，本文将旅游业、生态环境和公共服务作为一个整体，研究黄河流域旅游业、生态环境和公共服务的协调发展。基于耦合协调函数 GM(1,1)灰色预测方法和 PVAR 模型，我们讨论了 2008 年至 2019 年中国黄河流域九省旅游-生态环境-公共服务耦合协调度(CCD)的时空差异特征、演变趋势和相互作用机制。结果表明，黄河流域的旅游业和公共服务密切相关，生态环境的保护和旅游业的发展并不矛盾。从三个系统的 CCD 来看，时间上整体呈稳定上升趋势；从空间上看，河南、山东、四川三省 CCD 水平较高，青海、甘肃、宁夏、内蒙古、陕西、山西六省 CCD 水平较低，且呈现出由上游到下游的空间递增趋势。未来五年，除山东省外，流域内所有省份的三个系统 CCD 演变趋势都将呈上升趋势。从相互影响机制来看，旅游可以促进生态环境和公共服务的发展。
