Meeker Daniella, Kallem Crystal, Heras Yan, Garcia Stephanie, Thompson Casey
Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Clinovations Government+Health, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
JAMIA Open. 2022 Aug 8;5(3):ooac067. doi: 10.1093/jamiaopen/ooac067. eCollection 2022 Oct.
Simulation is a mainstay of comparative- and cost-effectiveness research when empirical data are not available. The Synthea platform, originally designed for generating realistically coded longitudinal health records for software testing, implements data generation models specified in publicly contributed modules representing patients' life cycle and disease and treatment progression. We test the hypothesis that Synthea can be used for simulation studies that draw parameters from observational studies and randomized trials. We benchmarked the results and assessed the effort required to create a Synthea module that replicates a recently published cost-effectiveness simulation comparing levofloxacin prophylaxis to usual care for leukemia. A module was iteratively developed using published parameters from the original study; we replicated the initial conditions and simulation endpoints of demographics, health events, costs, and mortality. We compare Synthea's Generic Module Framework to platforms designed for simulation and show that Synthea can be used, with modifications, for some types of simulation studies.
当缺乏实证数据时,模拟是比较效果研究和成本效益研究的主要手段。Synthea平台最初是为软件测试生成逼真编码的纵向健康记录而设计的,它实现了在公开贡献的模块中指定的数据生成模型,这些模块代表了患者的生命周期、疾病和治疗进展。我们检验了这样一个假设,即Synthea可用于从观察性研究和随机试验中提取参数的模拟研究。我们对结果进行了基准测试,并评估了创建一个Synthea模块所需的工作量,该模块复制了最近发表的一项成本效益模拟研究,该研究比较了左氧氟沙星预防与白血病常规护理。使用原始研究中公布的参数迭代开发了一个模块;我们复制了人口统计学、健康事件、成本和死亡率的初始条件和模拟终点。我们将Synthea的通用模块框架与为模拟设计的平台进行了比较,结果表明,经过修改后,Synthea可用于某些类型的模拟研究。