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系统动力学分析美国 COVID-19 疫苗接种和社会动员政策的效果。

System dynamics analysis on the effectiveness of vaccination and social mobilization policies for COVID-19 in the United States.

机构信息

Department of Public Finance, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, ROC.

Department of Industrial Management, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan, ROC.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2022 Aug 12;17(8):e0268443. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0268443. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented significant public health and economic challenges worldwide. Various health and non-pharmaceutical policies have been adopted by different countries to control the spread of the virus. To shed light on the impact of vaccination and social mobilization policies during this wide-ranging crisis, this paper applies a system dynamics analysis on the effectiveness of these two types of policies on pandemic containment and the economy in the United States. Based on the simulation of different policy scenarios, the findings are expected to help decisions and mitigation efforts throughout this pandemic and beyond.

摘要

新冠疫情大流行给全球带来了重大的公共卫生和经济挑战。不同国家采取了各种卫生和非药物干预措施来控制病毒的传播。为了研究在这场广泛的危机中,疫苗接种和社会动员政策的影响,本文采用系统动力学方法分析了美国这两种政策在控制大流行和经济方面的有效性。通过模拟不同的政策情景,预计这些发现将有助于在整个大流行期间及以后做出决策和减轻影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cf70/9374237/b3f9ef2a5845/pone.0268443.g001.jpg

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