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从随机实验中进行因果推理的推论多元论。

Inferential Pluralism in Causal Reasoning from Randomized Experiments.

机构信息

Universite du Québec a Trois-Rivières, Trois-Rivières, Canada.

出版信息

Acta Biotheor. 2022 Aug 13;70(4):22. doi: 10.1007/s10441-022-09446-2.

Abstract

Causal pluralism can be defended not only in respect to causal concepts and methodological guidelines, but also at the finer-grained level of causal inference from a particular source of evidence for causation. An argument for this last variety of pluralism is made based on an analysis of causal inference from randomized experiments (RCTs). Here, the causal interpretation of a statistically significant association can be established via multiple paths of reasoning, each relying on different assumptions and providing distinct elements of information in favour of a causal interpretation.

摘要

因果多元论不仅可以在因果概念和方法准则方面得到辩护,也可以在特定因果证据来源的因果推断的更精细层面得到辩护。基于对随机对照试验(RCT)中因果推断的分析,提出了最后一种多元论的论据。在这里,可以通过多种推理路径来建立统计显著关联的因果解释,每种推理路径都依赖于不同的假设,并提供不同的信息要素,以支持因果解释。

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