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基于土地转换和灾害恢复力的社区参与式洪水灾害缓解建模

Flood disaster mitigation modeling through participation community based on the land conversion and disaster resilience.

作者信息

Nugraheni Irma Lusi, Suyatna Agus, Setiawan Agus

机构信息

Environmental Science, University of Lampung, Indonesia.

Physics Department at University of Lampung, Indonesia.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2022 Jul 19;8(8):e09889. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e09889. eCollection 2022 Aug.

Abstract

The objective of this research is to determine the relationship between non-structural flood disaster mitigation models to reduce the impact of floods. The analysis is carried out on the basis of community participation, land conversion, and community resilience. The 1398 household was conducted at 2019 is used as the sample of this research. This research is focused on the mitigation modeling by adopting three models (CLEAR model, CLUE-S model, DROP model) as variables, 15 indicators and 65 sub-indicators. Three hypotheses were formulated to effectively carry out the research. Structural equation model is used to investigate the close relationship between the three models. The relation between CLEAR and CLUE-S models have a positive correlation is about 14.806, CLEAR and DROP models have a close relation is about 4598, and CLUE-S and DROP models have a close positive relation is about 4.004. The results of these three models are very valuable to the central and local governments for formulating the policies programs in designing sustainable non-structural flood mitigation and subsequent policies with references to the three models above which are effective to reduce the flood events.

摘要

本研究的目的是确定非结构性洪水灾害缓解模型之间的关系,以减少洪水的影响。分析是基于社区参与、土地转换和社区复原力进行的。2019年对1398户家庭进行的调查用作本研究的样本。本研究聚焦于缓解建模,采用三种模型(CLEAR模型、CLUE - S模型、DROP模型)作为变量,15个指标和65个子指标。为有效开展研究制定了三个假设。采用结构方程模型来研究这三种模型之间的紧密关系。CLEAR模型与CLUE - S模型之间的关系呈正相关,约为14.806;CLEAR模型与DROP模型关系密切,约为4598;CLUE - S模型与DROP模型呈密切正相关,约为4.004。这三种模型的结果对于中央和地方政府制定政策方案具有非常重要的价值,这些政策方案旨在设计可持续的非结构性洪水缓解措施以及后续参考上述三种有效减少洪水事件的模型制定的政策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2eaf/9363956/06b8aaa1ad53/gr1.jpg

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