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消费者对疫情后未来的展望:一项定性研究。

Consumers anticipating futures beyond the pandemic: A qualitative study.

作者信息

Komonen Pauli, Seisto Anu

机构信息

VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd, P.O. Box 1000, FI-02044 VTT, Finland.

出版信息

Futures. 2022 Sep;142:103019. doi: 10.1016/j.futures.2022.103019. Epub 2022 Aug 10.

Abstract

Consumers have needed to reorganise their daily lives due to the COVID-19 pandemic. It has become a focal question whether or not the changes will be permanent, short-lived or perhaps contribute to a transition towards new forms of consumption. Alongside changes caused directly by the pandemic, consumers have ideas, plans and hopes concerning their futures. In this article, we investigate consumers' behaviour change and futures thinking during the pandemic. A three-month qualitative online data collection was carried out to allow consumers to reflect on their current situation and views on the future. Consumers' future expectations and changes in consumer lifestyles during the pandemic are identified in the analysis. The results are interpreted through the theoretical perspectives of anticipation and imaginaries. In their thinking, consumers move fluently between the past, present and future, and they anticipate simplified, flexible and ecologically conscious lifestyles in the future. We conclude that primary qualitative data consisting of consumers' futures thinking can be a valuable data source in foresight research supporting traditional expert-driven methods.

摘要

由于新冠疫情,消费者需要重新安排他们的日常生活。这些变化是否会是永久性的、短暂的,或者是否会促成向新消费形式的转变,已成为一个焦点问题。除了疫情直接导致的变化外,消费者对自己的未来也有想法、计划和期望。在本文中,我们调查了疫情期间消费者的行为变化和对未来的思考。我们进行了为期三个月的定性在线数据收集,以便让消费者反思他们的现状和对未来的看法。分析中确定了消费者在疫情期间的未来期望和消费生活方式的变化。通过预期和想象的理论视角对结果进行了解释。在他们的思考中,消费者在过去、现在和未来之间流畅地转换,他们预计未来的生活方式将更简单、更灵活且更具生态意识。我们得出结论,由消费者对未来的思考组成的原始定性数据可以成为前瞻性研究中有价值的数据源,为传统的专家驱动方法提供支持。

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