Aitken C G, Robertson J
J Forensic Sci. 1987 May;32(3):684-9.
The paper by Gaudette and Keeping on "An Attempt at Determining Probabilities in Human Scalp Hair Comparison" in the Journal of Forensic Sciences (Vol. 19, No. 3, July 1974, pp. 599-606) has provoked considerable controversy. This paper highlights two of the sources of the controversy and shows how the probability, 1/4500, quoted by Gaudette and Keeping should be treated with caution. The necessity of the use of a likelihood ratio statistic is described. It is suggested that the hair examination form resulting from the responses to the questionnaire recently distributed by the authors and also the discussions at Quantico (Proceedings of the International Symposium on Forensic Hair Comparisons, 25-27 June 1985, Quantico VA) should be used to facilitate the collection of the data which will be necessary to enable a likelihood ratio statistic to be estimated effectively.
高德特（Gaudette）和基平（Keeping）发表于《法医学杂志》（第19卷，第3期，1974年7月，第599 - 606页）上的论文《尝试确定人类头皮毛发比对中的概率》引发了相当大的争议。本文突出了争议的两个来源，并表明高德特和基平所引用的概率1/4500应谨慎对待。文中描述了使用似然比统计量的必要性。建议使用因作者最近分发的调查问卷的回复以及在匡蒂科（1985年6月25 - 27日，弗吉尼亚州匡蒂科，法医毛发比对国际研讨会论文集）的讨论而产生的毛发检验表格，以促进数据收集，这些数据对于有效估计似然比统计量是必要的。
