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揭示复杂城市背后的时空相互作用模式。

Revealing spatiotemporal interaction patterns behind complex cities.

机构信息

UrbanNet Lab, College of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China.

School of Systems Science/Institute of Nonequilibrium Systems, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

出版信息

Chaos. 2022 Aug;32(8):081105. doi: 10.1063/5.0098132.

DOI:10.1063/5.0098132
PMID:36049958
Abstract

Cities are typical dynamic complex systems that connect people and facilitate interactions. Revealing general collective patterns behind spatiotemporal interactions between residents is crucial for various urban studies, of which we are still lacking a comprehensive understanding. Massive cellphone data enable us to construct interaction networks based on spatiotemporal co-occurrence of individuals. The rank-size distributions of dynamic population of locations in all unit time windows are stable, although people are almost constantly moving in cities and hot-spots that attract people are changing over time in a day. A larger city is of a stronger heterogeneity as indicated by a larger scaling exponent. After aggregating spatiotemporal interaction networks over consecutive time windows, we reveal a switching behavior of cities between two states. During the "active" state, the whole city is concentrated in fewer larger communities, while in the "inactive" state, people are scattered in smaller communities. Above discoveries are universal over three cities across continents. In addition, a city stays in an active state for a longer time when its population grows larger. Spatiotemporal interaction segregation can be well approximated by residential patterns only in smaller cities. In addition, we propose a temporal-population-weighted-opportunity model by integrating a time-dependent departure probability to make dynamic predictions on human mobility, which can reasonably well explain the observed patterns of spatiotemporal interactions in cities.

摘要

城市是典型的动态复杂系统,连接着人和促进着互动。揭示居民之间时空相互作用背后的一般集体模式对于各种城市研究至关重要,但我们对此仍缺乏全面的理解。大量的手机数据使我们能够基于个体的时空共现构建交互网络。虽然人们在城市中几乎不断地移动,并且一天中吸引人们的热点也在随时间变化,但所有单位时间窗口中位置动态人口的排名大小分布是稳定的。较大的城市具有更大的异质性,这由更大的标度指数表示。在连续的时间窗口上聚合时空交互网络后,我们揭示了城市在两种状态之间的切换行为。在“活跃”状态下,整个城市集中在少数较大的社区中,而在“不活跃”状态下,人们分散在较小的社区中。以上发现适用于跨越三大洲的三个城市。此外,城市的人口越大,其处于活跃状态的时间就越长。时空交互隔离仅在较小的城市中可以很好地由居住模式来近似。此外,我们通过整合一个随时间变化的出发概率来提出一个时间人口加权机会模型,以便对人类流动性进行动态预测,该模型可以很好地解释城市中时空相互作用的观察模式。

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