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基于机器学习模型的中国跨境电子商务规模分析与预测。

Analysis and Prediction of Cross-Border e-Commerce Scale of China Based on the Machine Learning Model.

机构信息

School of Foreign Studies, Yiwu Industrial and Commercial College, Yiwu, Zhejiang 322000, China.

出版信息

Comput Intell Neurosci. 2022 Aug 23;2022:7906135. doi: 10.1155/2022/7906135. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

In the context of the rapid development of Internet technology, the integration of the world economy has been strengthened, and the continuous innovation of technology and foreign trade business forms has promoted the rapid development of cross-border e-commerce. Due to the lack of relevant data on cross-border logistics empirical research, this paper conducts a prediction study on the scale of China's cross-border e-commerce market based on machine learning models and combines the relevant financial reports of listed companies to determine the proportion of performance costs to turnover. Forecast of the scale of cross-border e-commerce in China. Combined with the total economic volume, industrial structure, domestic and foreign trade, online shopping development, people's life, and express development, the index system is established, and 11 indicators are initially established with reference to the selection principle of indicators. Combined with the research object, multiple regression and gray prediction methods are established. The relevant prediction model is tested, and the established model is tested to ensure the prediction accuracy. The forecast results show that by 2027, the size of China's cross-border e-commerce market will reach 30.8133 trillion yuan.

摘要

在互联网技术快速发展的背景下,世界经济一体化得到了加强,技术和外贸业务形式的不断创新推动了跨境电子商务的快速发展。由于跨境物流实证研究相关数据的缺乏,本文基于机器学习模型对中国跨境电商市场规模进行了预测研究,并结合上市公司相关财务报告确定了业绩成本占营业额的比例。预测中国跨境电子商务的规模。结合经济总量、产业结构、国内外贸易、网络购物发展、人民生活、快递发展等,建立指标体系,参考指标选择原则初步建立 11 个指标。结合研究对象,建立多元回归和灰色预测方法。对相关预测模型进行检验,检验建立的模型,以保证预测精度。预测结果表明,到 2027 年,中国跨境电商市场规模将达到 30.8133 万亿元。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/15c4/9427215/95f4945f873a/CIN2022-7906135.001.jpg

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