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“声誉溢价”:医院排名的提升是否会导致更高的医疗支出?

"The reputation premium": does hospital ranking improvement lead to a higher healthcare spending?

机构信息

School of Public Administration and Policy, Renmin University of China, No.59 Zhongguancun Avenue, Beijing, 100872, Beijing, P.R. China.

China Center for Health Economic Research, Peking University, No.5 Yiheyuan Road, Beijing, 100871, Beijing, P.R. China.

出版信息

Eur J Health Econ. 2023 Jul;24(5):817-830. doi: 10.1007/s10198-022-01511-4. Epub 2022 Sep 2.

Abstract

Global health systems have often disclosed hospital quality and performance information via hospital ranking or rating programs over the last 20 years. This study aims to examine the relationship between hospital ranking and healthcare spending. Using the Basic Medical Insurance claims data from a big city in central China and the hospital ranking data from the Fudan Chinese Hospital League Table from 2016 to 2018, this study exploits the variation of hospital reputable ranking across hospitals and periods to employ the difference-in-differences (DiD) design. To alleviate the self-selection bias emerging from inpatients' selection of hospitals and the extrapolation bias emerging from the potential mis-specification of our linear model, we combine the DiD design with the 3-to-1 optimal Mahalanobis metric matching method. This study finds that ceteris paribus one hospital ascending from the Regional Famous Hospital Group to the National Famous Hospital Group significantly increases inpatients' total healthcare costs, reimbursement costs, and out-of-pocket costs by 5.9%, 6.2%, and 4.0%, respectively. Mechanism analysis reveals that it should be attributed more to physician moral hazard than patient willingness-to-pay. Leads and lags (event study) analysis validates our DiD identification framework and shows that the impact materializes slowly but significantly. In the robustness check, we transfer the outcome variables from the log value to the level value and control five digits of ICD-10 for the disease fixed-effects. The results are highly robust.

摘要

全球卫生系统在过去 20 年中,经常通过医院排名或评级项目来公布医院的质量和绩效信息。本研究旨在探讨医院排名与医疗支出之间的关系。本研究利用来自中国中部一个大城市的基本医疗保险报销数据和 2016 年至 2018 年复旦大学中国医院排行榜的数据,利用医院之间和时期之间的医院声誉排名的变化,采用双重差分(Difference-in-Differences,DiD)设计。为了缓解患者选择医院的自选择偏差和我们线性模型的潜在误设定带来的外推偏差,我们将 DiD 设计与 3 比 1 最优马氏距离匹配方法相结合。研究发现,在其他条件相同的情况下,一家医院从地区知名医院集团晋升为国家知名医院集团,患者的总医疗费用、报销费用和自费费用分别显著增加 5.9%、6.2%和 4.0%。机制分析表明,这主要归因于医生的道德风险,而不是患者的支付意愿。领先和滞后(事件研究)分析验证了我们的 DiD 识别框架,并表明这种影响是缓慢但显著的。在稳健性检验中,我们将因变量从对数值转换为水平值,并控制疾病固定效应的 ICD-10 的五位数字。结果非常稳健。

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