Yager J, Borus J F
Am J Psychiatry. 1987 Aug;144(8):1042-8. doi: 10.1176/ajp.144.8.1042.
In contrast to the past decade's concerns about an undersupply of psychiatric manpower, the authors point out that the profession may soon be facing the prospect of an oversupply of psychiatrists. Given the present rate of producing psychiatrists, shifts in demands for psychiatric services, changing payment and access patterns regarding specialty medical care, increasing numbers of nonpsychiatrist mental health professionals, and a probable surfeit of primary care physicians, underemployment of psychiatrists may become commonplace. Future psychiatrists will likely be used more as consultants, and the profession will need fewer, but better trained, graduates. The authors present alternative proposals to deal with service needs related to such reductions.
与过去十年对精神科人力供应不足的担忧形成对比的是,作者指出该行业可能很快将面临精神科医生供应过剩的局面。鉴于目前精神科医生的培养速度、精神科服务需求的变化、专科医疗护理支付和获取模式的改变、非精神科心理健康专业人员数量的增加以及初级保健医生可能过剩的情况,精神科医生就业不足可能会变得很普遍。未来,精神科医生可能更多地被用作顾问,该行业将需要更少但受过更好培训的毕业生。作者提出了替代方案来应对与这种减少相关的服务需求。