Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Department of Statistics, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, UNSW, Sydney, Australia.
Int J Cancer. 2023 Jan 15;152(2):195-202. doi: 10.1002/ijc.34237. Epub 2022 Aug 24.
Colon cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer in women in Norway, where incidence rates of colon cancer increased 3-fold between 1955 and 2014, for unknown reasons. We aimed to assess the burden of colon cancer attributable to modifiable risk factors in Norwegian women using the data from the Norwegian Women and Cancer (NOWAC) study. Self-reported information from 35 525 women from the NOWAC study were available. These included the following exposures: smoking status, alcohol consumption, body mass index, physical activity, intake of calcium, fibers, and red and processed meat. Colon cancer cases were identified from the Cancer Registry of Norway. A parametric piecewise constant hazards model was used to estimate the strength of exposure-cancer associations. Population attributable fractions with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated considering competing risk of death. The fraction of incident colon cancer attributable to ever smoking was 18.7% (95% CI 4.7%-30.6%), low physical activity 10.8% (95% CI -0.7% to 21.0%), alcohol consumption 14.5% (95% CI -2.8% to 28.9%), and low intake of calcium 10.0% (95% CI -7.8% to 24.8%). A small proportion of colon cancer cases was attributable to combined intake of red and processed meat over 500 g/week, overweight/obesity, and low intake of fibers. Jointly, these seven risk factors could explain 46.0% (95% CI 23.0%-62.4%) of the colon cancer incidence burden. Between 23% and 62% of the colon cancer burden among women in Norway was attributable to modifiable risk factors, indicating an important preventive potential of a healthy lifestyle.
结肠癌是挪威女性中第二常见的癌症,其发病率在 1955 年至 2014 年间增加了 3 倍,但原因不明。我们旨在利用挪威妇女与癌症(NOWAC)研究的数据,评估可改变的危险因素对挪威女性结肠癌发病的影响。NOWAC 研究中有 35525 名女性的自我报告信息可用。这些信息包括以下暴露因素:吸烟状况、饮酒、体重指数、身体活动、钙、纤维、红色和加工肉类的摄入量。结肠癌病例是从挪威癌症登记处确定的。使用分段常数风险模型来估计暴露与癌症关联的强度。考虑到死亡的竞争风险,计算了具有 95%置信区间(CI)的人群归因分数。曾经吸烟导致的结肠癌发病的比例为 18.7%(95%CI 4.7%-30.6%),低体力活动 10.8%(95%CI -0.7%至 21.0%),饮酒 14.5%(95%CI -2.8%至 28.9%),钙摄入量低 10.0%(95%CI -7.8%至 24.8%)。少量结肠癌病例归因于每周摄入 500 克以上的红色和加工肉类、超重/肥胖以及纤维摄入量低。这七个危险因素共同解释了 46.0%(95%CI 23.0%-62.4%)的结肠癌发病负担。在挪威女性中,23%至 62%的结肠癌负担归因于可改变的危险因素,这表明健康生活方式具有重要的预防潜力。