Dungan Roger J, Duncan Richard P, Whitehead David
Ecology and Entomology Group, Soil, Plant and Ecological Sciences Division, PO Box 84, Lincoln University, Canterbury, New Zealand.
Landcare Research, PO Box 69, Lincoln 8152, New Zealand.
New Phytol. 2003 Jun;158(3):593-600. doi: 10.1046/j.1469-8137.2003.00772.x.
• Here leaf lifespans were investigated using interval-censored failure time analysis. The utility of this relatively novel approach is illustrated by comparing the leaf lifespan of winter-deciduous fuchsia (Fuchsia excorticata) and annual-evergreen wineberry (Aristotelia serrata). • Leaf emergence and mortality were first described using growth equations. Individual leaf lifespans were investigated using a parametric failure-time regression model that accounted for the interval-censored nature of leaf lifespan data. • Bud burst began 7 d earlier, the rate of leaf emergence was 0.06 leaves per shoot d faster, and emergence ended 44 d earlier in fuchsia than in wineberry. The rate of leaf mortality was greatest in mid-summer in fuchsia, but nearly constant over the year for wineberry. There was a highly significant effect of the date of leaf emergence on leaf lifespan. Leaves emerging earlier in the growing season had shorter lifespans relative to later emerged leaves in fuchsia, whereas the reverse was true for wineberry. There was no significant effect of shoot height, branch order, or the number leaves of per shoot length on leaf lifespan. • These results highlight the utility of studying phenology at the individual leaf level using failure time analysis. Although growth equations precisely describe leaf emergence and mortality in wineberry and fuchsia, they obscured key differences between the species that were identified using failure time analysis.
• 在这里,我们使用区间删失失效时间分析来研究叶片寿命。通过比较冬季落叶的倒挂金钟(Fuchsia excorticata)和一年生常绿的树番茄(Aristotelia serrata)的叶片寿命,说明了这种相对新颖方法的实用性。
• 首先使用生长方程描述叶片的出现和死亡情况。使用参数化失效时间回归模型研究单叶寿命,该模型考虑了叶片寿命数据的区间删失性质。
• 倒挂金钟的芽萌发开始时间比树番茄早7天,叶片出现速率快0.06片/枝·天,出现结束时间比树番茄早44天。倒挂金钟叶片死亡率在仲夏最高,而树番茄全年几乎恒定。叶片出现日期对叶片寿命有极显著影响。在倒挂金钟中,生长季节早期出现的叶片相对于后期出现的叶片寿命较短,而树番茄则相反。枝条高度、分枝顺序或每枝长度的叶片数量对叶片寿命没有显著影响。
• 这些结果突出了使用失效时间分析在单叶水平上研究物候学的实用性。尽管生长方程精确描述了树番茄和倒挂金钟的叶片出现和死亡情况,但它们掩盖了通过失效时间分析确定的物种之间的关键差异。