Department of Civil Engineering, MY University, Islamabad, Pakistan.
School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Sector H-12, 44000 Islamabad, Pakistan.
Comput Intell Neurosci. 2022 Aug 25;2022:5504283. doi: 10.1155/2022/5504283. eCollection 2022.
In the past, large earthquakes caused the collapse of infrastructure and killed thousands of people in Pakistan, a seismically active region. Therefore, the seismic assessment of infrastructure is a dire need that can be done using the fragility analysis. This study focuses on the fragility analysis of school buildings in Muzaffarabad district, seismic zone-4 of Pakistan. Fragility curves were developed using incremental dynamic analysis (IDA); however, the numerical analysis is computationally time-consuming and expensive. Therefore, soft computing techniques such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Gene Expression Programming (GEP) were employed as alternative methods to establish the fragility curves for the prediction of seismic performance. The optimized ANN model [5-25-1] was used. The feedforward backpropagation network was considered in this study. To achieve a reliable model, 70% of the data was selected for training and 15% for validation and 15% of data was used for testing the model. Similarly, the GEP model was also employed to predict the fragility curves. The results of both ANN and GEP were compared based on the coefficient of determination, . The ANN model accurately predicts the global drift values with equal to 0.938 compared to the GEP model having equal to 0.87.
过去,巴基斯坦是一个地震活跃的地区,曾发生过大地震,导致基础设施倒塌,数千人丧生。因此,对基础设施进行地震评估是一项迫切需要的工作,可以使用易损性分析来完成。本研究专注于巴基斯坦地震带 4 区穆扎法拉巴德地区的校舍易损性分析。采用增量动力分析(IDA)方法建立易损性曲线;然而,数值分析计算时间长且成本高。因此,采用人工神经网络(ANN)和基因表达式编程(GEP)等软计算技术作为替代方法来建立易损性曲线,以预测地震性能。优化后的 ANN 模型 [5-25-1] 被采用。在本研究中,考虑了前馈反向传播网络。为了建立一个可靠的模型,选择了 70%的数据用于训练,15%的数据用于验证,15%的数据用于测试模型。同样,也采用了 GEP 模型来预测易损性曲线。基于决定系数 ,对 ANN 和 GEP 的结果进行了比较, 。ANN 模型准确地预测了全局漂移值,其 等于 0.938,而 GEP 模型的 等于 0.87。