Merck & Co., Inc., 126 East Lincoln Ave, P.O. Box 2000, Rahway, NJ, 07065, USA.
Analysis Group, Inc., 111 Huntington Avenue 14th Floor, Boston, MA, 02199, USA.
BMC Public Health. 2022 Sep 5;22(1):1677. doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-14051-6.
Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is a major cause of pediatric morbidity and mortality. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) were introduced in the US in 2000 (PCV7) and 2010 (PCV13). This study estimated the annual incidence rates (IRs) and time trends of IPD to quantify the burden of disease in children before and after the introduction of PCV7 and PCV13 in the US.
IPD episodes were identified in the IBM MarketScan Commercial and Medicaid Databases using claims with International Classification of Diseases 9/10 Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Annual IRs were calculated as the number of IPD episodes/100,000 person-years (PYs) for children < 18 years and by age group (< 2, 2-4, and 5-17 years). National estimates of annual IPD IRs were extrapolated using Census Bureau data. Interrupted time series (ITS) analyses were conducted to assess immediate and gradual changes in IPD IRs before and after introduction of PCV7 and PCV13.
In commercially insured children, IPD IRs decreased from 9.4 to 2.8 episodes/100,000 PY between the pre-PCV7 (1998-1999) and late PCV13 period (2014-2018) overall, and from 65.6 to 11.6 episodes/100,000 PY in children < 2 years. In the Medicaid population, IPD IRs decreased from 11.3 to 4.2 episodes/100,000 PY between the early PCV7 (2001-2005) and late PCV13 period overall, and from 42.6 to 12.8 episodes/100,000 PY in children < 2 years. The trends of IRs for meningitis, bacteremia, and bacteremic pneumonia followed the patterns of overall IPD episodes. The ITS analyses indicated significant decreases in the early PCV7 period, increases in the late PCV7 and decreases in the early PCV13 period in commercially insured children overall. However, increases were also observed in the late PCV13 period in children < 2 years. The percentage of cases with underlying risk factors increased in both populations.
IRs of IPD decreased from 1998 to 2018, following introduction of PCV7 and PCV13, with larger declines during the early PCV7 and early PCV13 periods, and among younger children. However, the residual burden of IPD remains substantial. The impact of future PCVs on IPD IRs will depend on the proportion of vaccine-type serotypes and vaccine effectiveness in children with underlying conditions.
侵袭性肺炎球菌病(IPD)是导致儿科发病率和死亡率的主要原因。肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV)于 2000 年(PCV7)和 2010 年(PCV13)在美国推出。本研究估计了 IPD 的年发病率(IR)和时间趋势,以量化 PCV7 和 PCV13 在美国推出前后儿童疾病负担。
使用国际疾病分类第 9/10 修订版、临床修正版的索赔,在 IBM MarketScan 商业和医疗补助数据库中确定 IPD 发作。将儿童 <18 岁的 IPD 每 100,000 人年(PY)的发生率(IR)计算为 IPD 发作数/100,000 PY,并按年龄组(<2 岁、2-4 岁和 5-17 岁)进行计算。使用人口普查局数据推断全国每年 IPD IR 的估计值。使用中断时间序列(ITS)分析来评估 PCV7 和 PCV13 引入前后 IPD IR 的即时和逐渐变化。
在商业保险儿童中,总体而言,IPD IR 从 PCV7 前(1998-1999 年)至后期(2014-2018 年)从 9.4 降至 2.8 例/100,000 PY,<2 岁儿童从 65.6 降至 11.6 例/100,000 PY。在医疗补助人群中,总体而言,IPD IR 从 PCV7 早期(2001-2005 年)至后期(2014-2018 年)从 11.3 降至 4.2 例/100,000 PY,<2 岁儿童从 42.6 降至 12.8 例/100,000 PY。脑膜炎、菌血症和菌血症性肺炎的发病率趋势与整体 IPD 发作模式一致。ITS 分析表明,商业保险儿童总体上在 PCV7 早期、PCV7 后期和 PCV13 早期都出现了显著下降,但在<2 岁儿童中,后期也出现了上升。两个群体中具有潜在危险因素的病例百分比都有所增加。
自 1998 年至 2018 年,随着 PCV7 和 PCV13 的推出,IPD 的发病率有所下降,在 PCV7 早期和 PCV13 早期期间以及在年幼儿童中下降幅度更大。然而,IPD 的剩余负担仍然很大。未来 PCV 对 IPD IR 的影响将取决于疫苗型血清型和疫苗对有潜在疾病儿童的有效性的比例。