Huang Min, Hu Tianyan, Weaver Jessica, Owusu-Edusei Kwame, Elbasha Elamin
Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ 07065, USA.
Vaccines (Basel). 2023 Jan 6;11(1):135. doi: 10.3390/vaccines11010135.
This study evaluated the clinical and economic impact of routine pediatric vaccination with the 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15, V114) compared with the 13-valent PCV (PCV13) from a societal perspective in the United States (US). A Markov decision-analytic model was constructed to estimate the outcomes for the entire US population over a 100-year time horizon. The model estimated the impact of V114 versus PCV13 on pneumococcal disease (PD) incidence, post meningitis sequalae, and deaths, taking herd immunity effects into account. V114 effectiveness was extrapolated from the observed PCV13 data and PCV7 clinical trials. Costs (2021$) included vaccine acquisition and administration costs, direct medical costs for PD treatment, direct non-medical costs, and indirect costs, and were discounted at 3% per year. In the base case, V114 prevented 185,711 additional invasive pneumococcal disease, 987,727 all-cause pneumonia, and 11.2 million pneumococcal acute otitis media cases, compared with PCV13. This led to expected gains of 90,026 life years and 96,056 quality-adjusted life years with a total saving of $10.8 billion. Sensitivity analysis showed consistent results over plausible values of key model inputs and assumptions. The findings suggest that V114 is a cost-saving option compared to PCV13 in the routine pediatric vaccination program.
本研究从美国社会角度评估了15价肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV15,V114)与13价PCV(PCV13)进行常规儿童疫苗接种的临床和经济影响。构建了一个马尔可夫决策分析模型,以估计100年时间跨度内全美国人口的结果。该模型估计了V114与PCV13对肺炎球菌疾病(PD)发病率、脑膜炎后遗症和死亡的影响,并考虑了群体免疫效应。V114的有效性是根据观察到的PCV13数据和PCV7临床试验推断出来的。成本(2021年美元)包括疫苗采购和接种成本、PD治疗的直接医疗成本、直接非医疗成本和间接成本,并按每年3%进行贴现。在基础案例中,与PCV13相比,V114预防了185,711例额外的侵袭性肺炎球菌疾病、987,727例全因性肺炎和1120万例肺炎球菌急性中耳炎病例。这带来了预期的90,026个生命年和96,056个质量调整生命年的收益,总共节省了108亿美元。敏感性分析表明,在关键模型输入和假设的合理值范围内结果一致。研究结果表明,在常规儿童疫苗接种计划中,与PCV13相比,V114是一种节省成本的选择。