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分析 1980 年至 2019 年中国粮食生产中施肥强度和效率的变化。

Analysis on the changes of fertilization intensity and efficiency in China's grain production from 1980 to 2019.

机构信息

Environmental Science and Engineering Key Discipline, Nanjing Xiaozhuang University, Nanjing, China.

Chemical Engineering Discipline, School of Engineering, Monash University, Bandar Sunway, Malaysia.

出版信息

J Sci Food Agric. 2023 Jan 30;103(2):908-916. doi: 10.1002/jsfa.12202. Epub 2022 Sep 23.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Relieving serious non-point source pollution of nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), and potassium (K) is an urgent task in China. It is necessary to explore the changing characteristics of chemical fertilization intensity (FI) and efficiency to provide references. A new method of 'relative productivity proportion weight', which was simpler than data envelope analysis, was proposed to construct models of fertilizer allocation efficiency (FAE) and chemical fertilizer integrated efficiency (FIE) by considering NPK multi-inputs and the grain output scale, respectively.

RESULTS

During 1980-2014, the FIs of NPK chemical fertilizers in China showed a significant growing trend. After reaching the highest value of 339 kg ha in 2014, FIs were reduced to 303 kg ha in 2019, higher than the 225 kg ha maximum safe usage internationally recognized. Meanwhile, the pattern of change of FAE was one of 'decreasing to increasing', with values of 1 in 1980, 0.66 in 2003, and 0.80 in 2019. FIE basically showed an increasing trend, which could be divided into three stages: the first stage of low efficiency during 1980-2009, the second stage of medium efficiency after 2010, and the third stage of high efficiency after 2018.

CONCLUSION

From 1980 until 2019, a reduction of FAE from 1 to 0.80 with an average of 0.75 was observed in China. FIE was found between 0.65 and 0.85 and had the potential of upgrading by 15-35%. Therefore, China needs to improve the fertilizer use efficiency in order to strive for negative growth of chemical fertilizer intensity and ecological agriculture construction. © 2022 Society of Chemical Industry.

摘要

背景

缓解严重的非点源氮(N)、磷(P)、钾(K)污染是中国的当务之急。有必要探索化学施肥强度(FI)和效率的变化特征,为其提供参考。提出了一种新的方法“相对生产力比例权重”,该方法比数据包络分析更简单,通过考虑 NPK 多投入和粮食产出规模,分别构建肥料分配效率(FAE)和化肥综合效率(FIE)模型。

结果

1980-2014 年,中国 NPK 化肥 FI 呈显著增长趋势。2014 年达到 339kg·ha-1 的最高值后,2019 年降至 303kg·ha-1,高于国际公认的 225kg·ha-1 最大安全用量。同时,FAE 的变化模式为“先降后升”,1980 年为 1,2003 年为 0.66,2019 年为 0.80。FIE 基本呈上升趋势,可分为三个阶段:2009 年前的低效阶段、2010 年后的中效阶段和 2018 年后的高效阶段。

结论

1980 年至 2019 年,中国 FAE 从 1 降至 0.80,平均为 0.75。FIE 在 0.65-0.85 之间,有 15-35%的提升潜力。因此,中国需要提高化肥利用率,努力实现化肥强度负增长和生态农业建设。© 2022 英国化学学会。

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