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预测急性A型主动脉夹层三分支支架植入术后患者的术后低氧血症危险因素:一项回顾性研究。

Predicting postoperative hypoxemia risk factors in the patients after triple-branched stent graft implantation surgery with acute type A aortic dissection: A retrospective study.

作者信息

Wang Hanyu, Xu Zheng, Dai Xiaofu, Chen Liangwan

机构信息

Department of Cardiac Surgery, Union Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.

出版信息

J Card Surg. 2022 Nov;37(11):3642-3650. doi: 10.1111/jocs.16884. Epub 2022 Sep 8.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the risk factors of postoperative hypoxemia in patients after triple-branched stent graft implantation surgery with acute type A aortic dissection by conducting a nomogram.

METHODS

We evaluated 97 patients with acute type A aortic dissection (2020-2021), who underwent triple-branched stent graft implantation surgery. The independent risk factors were screened using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. We integrated significant factors as well as potential interference factors to build the nomogram model. The accuracy of the nomogram model was determined by using receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), decision curve analyses (DCA), and calibration plots. Internal verification was evaluated using bootstrap validation.

RESULTS

Logistic regression analysis illustrated that the postoperative lactic acid, postoperative creatinine, and intraoperative aortic occlusion time were all independent risk factors for hypoxemia. Age, sex, and body mass index (BMI) were clinically relevant for predicting postoperative hypoxemia. We established a nomogram based on these six risk factors. The ROC (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.765), DCA, and calibration confirmed good discriminatory applicability and accuracy of the nomogram. Bootstrap validation (AUC = 0.76) verified the applicability of the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram model could serve as a tool for the prediction of postoperative hypoxemia in patients after modified triple-branched stent graft implantation surgery with acute type A aortic dissection.

摘要

目的

通过构建列线图来评估急性A型主动脉夹层三分支支架植入术后患者发生术后低氧血症的危险因素。

方法

我们评估了97例(2020 - 2021年)接受三分支支架植入手术的急性A型主动脉夹层患者。采用单因素和多因素逻辑回归筛选独立危险因素。我们整合显著因素以及潜在干扰因素来构建列线图模型。列线图模型的准确性通过受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)、决策曲线分析(DCA)和校准图来确定。使用自助法验证进行内部验证。

结果

逻辑回归分析表明,术后乳酸、术后肌酐和术中主动脉阻断时间均为低氧血症的独立危险因素。年龄、性别和体重指数(BMI)在预测术后低氧血症方面具有临床相关性。我们基于这六个危险因素建立了列线图。ROC(曲线下面积[AUC]=0.765)、DCA和校准证实了列线图具有良好的区分适用性和准确性。自助法验证(AUC = 0.76)验证了列线图的适用性。

结论

列线图模型可作为预测急性A型主动脉夹层改良三分支支架植入术后患者术后低氧血症的工具。

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