School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing, 100091, China.
Center for Economic Research, Shandong University, Jinan, 250100, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan;30(4):11025-11045. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22697-3. Epub 2022 Sep 10.
Inclusive green growth (IGG) based on coordinating the society, economy, and environment is a new way to reach sustainable development. However, there is a lack of relevant research in developing countries. To bridge this gap, based on a comprehensive index that includes economy, social, and environment, this study evaluates the urban inclusive green growth index (IGGI) of 282 in China from 2003 to 2020 and analyzes the spatiotemporal dynamics and regional differences. Moreover, the spatial Durbin model is employed to explore the plausible influencing factors of urban IGGI in China. The main results show an increasing trend of IGGI in Chinese cities and imbalanced spatiotemporal dynamics. Furthermore, the econometric regress results show that upgrade of industrial structure, opening up, human capital, and urban innovation have significant positive impact on urban IGGI, while the administrative capacity of the government and urban industrialization show negative impact on urban IGGI; human capital not only affects the local IGGI but also has significant spatial spillover effects to the surrounding cities. This finding provides new evidence for China to achieve its 2030 sustainable development goals and sheds lights on how policy can be improved to boost IGGI levels and achieve carbon neutrality in 2060.
包容性绿色增长(IGG)基于协调社会、经济和环境,是实现可持续发展的一种新途径。然而,发展中国家对此缺乏相关研究。为了弥补这一差距,本研究基于一个包含经济、社会和环境的综合指数,评估了 2003 年至 2020 年中国 282 个城市的包容性绿色增长指数(IGGI),并分析了其时空动态和区域差异。此外,还采用空间杜宾模型探讨了中国城市 IGGI 的可能影响因素。主要结果表明,中国城市的 IGGI 呈增长趋势,但存在不平衡的时空动态。此外,计量回归结果表明,产业结构升级、对外开放、人力资本和城市创新对城市 IGGI 具有显著的正向影响,而政府行政能力和城市工业化对城市 IGGI 则具有负向影响;人力资本不仅影响当地的 IGGI,还对周边城市具有显著的空间溢出效应。这一发现为中国实现 2030 年可持续发展目标提供了新的证据,并为如何改善政策以提高 IGGI 水平和实现 2060 年碳中和提供了思路。