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巴基斯坦贸易与环境的对称和不对称分析。

Symmetric and asymmetric analysis of trade and environment in Pakistan.

作者信息

Khan Azra, Safdar Sadia

机构信息

Department of Economics, Federal Urdu University of Arts, Science & Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan;30(5):11399-11416. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22669-7. Epub 2022 Sep 12.

Abstract

The study examines how trade influences the environment via the effects of scale, composition, and technique. The study is conducted for Pakistan based on yearly data between 1980 and 2020. The study takes into both symmetric and asymmetric analyses of trade and environment. The symmetric analysis is carried out through the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. ARDL ignores the nonlinear association between the variables and captures only the linear relationship among variables whereas nonlinear ARDL captures the asymmetry. Results of the symmetric analysis show that scale and composition effect positively contribute to CO emission while technique effect is inversely related to CO release. Openness to trade accelerates the CO discharge. The findings also confirm the presence of the pollution haven proposition. Moreover, natural resource abundance increases emissions while better governance reduces the emission. The asymmetric analysis illustrates that there is a nonlinear association between trade openness and carbon dioxide emission. The rise and decline in trade are found to be positive and insignificant respectively. Moreover, the findings of asymmetric analysis follow the findings of the symmetric analysis in direction. The study suggests that emissions can be reduced by using environment-friendly technology and by improving governance.

摘要

该研究考察了贸易如何通过规模效应、结构效应和技术效应影响环境。该研究基于1980年至2020年的年度数据对巴基斯坦进行。该研究对贸易与环境进行了对称和非对称分析。对称分析通过自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型进行。ARDL忽略了变量之间的非线性关联,仅捕捉变量之间的线性关系,而非线性ARDL则捕捉不对称性。对称分析结果表明,规模效应和结构效应正向促进二氧化碳排放,而技术效应与二氧化碳排放呈负相关。贸易开放加速了二氧化碳排放。研究结果还证实了污染避难所假说的存在。此外,自然资源丰富会增加排放,而良好的治理则会减少排放。非对称分析表明,贸易开放与二氧化碳排放之间存在非线性关联。贸易的增加和减少分别被发现是正向且不显著的。此外,非对称分析的结果在方向上与对称分析的结果一致。该研究表明,可通过使用环境友好型技术和改善治理来减少排放。

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