Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management Sciences, Abia State University, Abia State, Uturu, Nigeria.
Economists for Peace and Security, Australia Chapter, Sydney, Australia.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan;30(5):11913-11925. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22912-1. Epub 2022 Sep 13.
Irrespective of the vast array of empirical evaluations pertaining to the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis, both for India and other countries, previous studies, amid divergent submissions, inadvertently failed to highlight the relevant threshold that ensures significant reductions in environmental decay. Additionally, the implications of environmental-control technology on environmental quality are also lacking mostly in the context of Indian economy. Thus, this study enlists environmental-control technology and other relevant factors over the period 1980-2018 and employs the novel multiple threshold nonlinear ARDL technique, a model rarely applied in previous studies for updated empirical narratives. Accordingly, the empirical evidence rectifies that the variables converged to long-run equilibrium. Furthermore, from the tercile partial deviations, it is established that at the middle threshold (GDP), pollution shrinks more significantly amid rising income, thereby validating the EKC hypothesis for India. Likewise, environmental-control technologies provided only a short-term insignificant carbon neutrality pathway, whereas they provided long-term insignificant emission increasing effects. This implies that the depth of such technology in India is inadequate to invoke cleaner environments at all times. Likewise, energy consumption and urbanization processes are significant environmental polluters, while trade openness provides insignificant long- and short-term carbon emission effects. Against this background, economic growth within the middle threshold promises a more sustainable environment amid rising national income at all times. Moreover, given its short-term outcomes, strengthening the depth of environmental-control technology is imperative to ensure a long-lasting clean environment in India.
尽管针对印度和其他国家的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说存在大量的实证评估,但之前的研究在意见分歧的情况下,无意中未能突出确保环境恶化显著减少的相关门槛。此外,在印度经济背景下,环境控制技术对环境质量的影响也大多缺乏。因此,本研究在 1980 年至 2018 年期间列出了环境控制技术和其他相关因素,并采用了新颖的多阈值非线性 ARDL 技术,这是一个在之前的研究中很少应用于更新经验叙述的模型。相应地,实证证据纠正了变量收敛于长期均衡的事实。此外,从三分位部分偏差来看,在中间阈值(GDP)处,随着收入的增加,污染显著减少,从而验证了印度的 EKC 假说。同样,环境控制技术仅提供了短期的、不重要的碳中性途径,而在长期内,它们提供了不重要的排放增加效应。这意味着,印度此类技术的深度不足以在任何时候都能引发更清洁的环境。同样,能源消耗和城市化进程是重要的环境污染因素,而贸易开放度对长期和短期的碳排放效应影响不大。在此背景下,在中等收入范围内的经济增长有望在国民收入不断增长的情况下实现更可持续的环境。此外,鉴于其短期结果,加强环境控制技术的深度对于确保印度拥有持久清洁的环境至关重要。