School of Environment and Energy, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen, China.
Faculty of Economics and Accounting, Islamic Azad University, South Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2017 Sep;24(25):20487-20501. doi: 10.1007/s11356-017-9567-3. Epub 2017 Jul 15.
This empirical study examines the short- and long-run relationship between GDP as an economic growth indicator and CO emissions as an environmental pollution indicator in Myanmar by using annual time series data over the period of 1970-2014. It also carefully considered other proxies, such as trade openness, financial openness and urbanization, and structural breaks in the country. The fundamental objective of this study is to test the validity of environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in the context of Myanmar. The dynamic estimates of the long- and short-term relationship among greenhouse gases (CO, CH, NO), GDP, trade intensity, financial openness, and urbanization growth are built through an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The empirical findings indicate that there is positive short- and long-run relationship between CO and GDP and thus, no evidence of EKC hypothesis is found for CO in Myanmar. Nevertheless, the existence of the EKC is observed for CH and NO. On the other hand, trade and financial openness have inverse relationship with CO emissions. These results demonstrate that trade liberalization and financial openness will improve the environment quality in Myanmar in the long run.
本实证研究通过使用 1970-2014 年期间的年度时间序列数据,考察了 GDP 作为经济增长指标与 CO 排放作为环境污染指标在缅甸的短期和长期关系。此外,本研究还仔细考虑了其他代表变量,如贸易开放度、金融开放度和城市化水平,以及该国的结构断裂。本研究的基本目标是检验环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)在缅甸背景下的有效性。通过自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,构建了温室气体(CO、CH、NO)、GDP、贸易强度、金融开放度和城市化增长之间的长期和短期关系的动态估计。实证结果表明,CO 和 GDP 之间存在正向的短期和长期关系,因此,在缅甸没有发现 CO 的环境库兹涅茨曲线假说的证据。然而,CH 和 NO 存在环境库兹涅茨曲线。另一方面,贸易和金融开放度与 CO 排放呈负相关。这些结果表明,贸易自由化和金融开放度将从长期来看改善缅甸的环境质量。
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