Chawdhary Sarita, Panigrahi Pranaya K, Sharma Kanika, Yadav Manoj, Ranjan Rakesh, Mishra Akash, Kumar Deepak, Gaur Sunil K, Ashish Ashish, Sharma Shiv P
Department of Pediatric Surgery, Institute of Medical Sciences-Banaras Hindu University (IMS-BHU), Varanasi, IND.
Department of Science and Technology (DST) Centre for Interdisciplinary Mathematical Sciences, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, IND.
Cureus. 2022 Aug 23;14(8):e28319. doi: 10.7759/cureus.28319. eCollection 2022 Aug.
Introduction Neonatal sepsis is a dynamic process where the rigorous evaluation of clinical signs along with appropriately selected biomarkers guides the diagnosis of sepsis. Procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) are the two most commonly used diagnostic biomarkers used in sepsis. Sepsis remains the most important cause of mortality and morbidity in surgical neonates. A cross-sectional study was conducted to assess the prognostic predictability of PCT and CRP in neonatal surgical sepsis. Methods All the neonates admitted to the neonatal surgical intensive care unit between January 2019 and December 2020 with features of sepsis were included in the study. Blood cultures, CRP, and PCT on Day one (PCT1) and Day three (PCT3) of suspicion of sepsis were evaluated. The receiver operating characteristics curve was studied to estimate the probability of two markers to predict the mortality in neonatal sepsis. Results Of 102 surgical neonates, 63 neonates had early-onset sepsis while 23 (22.5%) neonates died and 30 neonates reported positive blood culture. There was a decline in the overall PCT trend from PCT1 and PCT3, while a significant PCT rise was noted for the non-survival group (p= 0.003). At cut-off of 5 mg/dl for CRP and 2.5 ng/dl for PCT1 and PCT3, the sensitivity (36.0%, 25.8%, 100%), specificity (84.1%, 83.3%, 97.5%), positive predictive value (52.2%, 73.9%, 91.3%), and negative predictive values (73.4%, 38.0%, 100%) were observed. Conclusion PCT on Day three of suspected sepsis has higher sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for prognostication of surgical neonatal sepsis at the cut-off value of 2.5 ng/ml. The rising trend of PCT levels is indicative of a poor prognosis.
引言
新生儿败血症是一个动态过程,对临床体征进行严格评估并结合适当选择的生物标志物可指导败血症的诊断。降钙素原(PCT)和C反应蛋白(CRP)是败血症中最常用的两种诊断生物标志物。败血症仍然是外科新生儿死亡和发病的最重要原因。本研究开展了一项横断面研究,以评估PCT和CRP对新生儿外科败血症的预后预测能力。
方法
纳入2019年1月至2020年12月期间入住新生儿外科重症监护病房且具有败血症特征的所有新生儿。对疑似败血症第1天(PCT1)和第3天(PCT3)的血培养、CRP和PCT进行评估。研究受试者工作特征曲线,以估计这两种标志物预测新生儿败血症死亡率的概率。
结果
在102例外科新生儿中,63例新生儿发生早发性败血症,23例(22.5%)新生儿死亡,30例新生儿血培养呈阳性。从PCT1到PCT3,总体PCT呈下降趋势,而非存活组PCT显著升高(p = 0.003)。当CRP临界值为5 mg/dl,PCT1和PCT3临界值为2.5 ng/dl时,观察到的敏感度分别为(36.0%、25.8%、100%),特异度分别为(84.1%、83.3%、97.5%),阳性预测值分别为(52.2%、73.9%、91.3%),阴性预测值分别为(73.4%、38.0%、100%)。
结论
在疑似败血症第3天,PCT在临界值2.5 ng/ml时,对外科新生儿败血症预后的敏感度、特异度和准确性更高。PCT水平的上升趋势表明预后不良。