Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Doha, Qatar.
World Health Organization Collaborating Centre for Disease Epidemiology Analytics on HIV/AIDS, Sexually Transmitted Infections, and Viral Hepatitis, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Cornell University, Qatar Foundation - Education City, Doha, Qatar.
Front Immunol. 2022 Sep 13;13:984784. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.984784. eCollection 2022.
In 2021, Qatar experienced considerable incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection that was dominated sequentially by the Alpha, Beta, and Delta variants. Using the cycle threshold (Ct) value of an RT-qPCR-positive test to proxy the inverse of infectiousness, we investigated infectiousness of SARS-CoV-2 infections by variant, age, sex, vaccination status, prior infection status, and reason for testing in a random sample of 18,355 RT-qPCR-genotyped infections. Regression analyses were conducted to estimate associations with the Ct value of RT-qPCR-positive tests. Compared to Beta infections, Alpha and Delta infections demonstrated 2.56 higher Ct cycles (95% CI: 2.35-2.78), and 4.92 fewer cycles (95% CI: 4.67- 5.16), respectively. The Ct value declined gradually with age and was especially high for children <10 years of age, signifying lower infectiousness in small children. Children <10 years of age had 2.18 higher Ct cycles (95% CI: 1.88-2.48) than those 10-19 years of age. Compared to unvaccinated individuals, the Ct value was higher among individuals who had received one or two vaccine doses, but the Ct value decreased gradually with time since the second-dose vaccination. Ct value was 2.07 cycles higher (95% CI: 1.42-2.72) for those with a prior infection than those without prior infection. The Ct value was lowest among individuals tested because of symptoms and was highest among individuals tested as a travel requirement. Delta was substantially more infectious than Beta. Prior immunity, whether due to vaccination or prior infection, is associated with lower infectiousness of breakthrough infections, but infectiousness increases gradually with time since the second-dose vaccination.
2021 年,卡塔尔经历了相当数量的 SARS-CoV-2 感染,这些感染先后由 Alpha、Beta 和 Delta 变体主导。我们使用 RT-qPCR 阳性检测的 Ct 值来代理传染性的倒数,通过对 18355 例经 RT-qPCR 基因分型的感染进行随机抽样,研究了变体、年龄、性别、疫苗接种状态、既往感染状态和检测原因对 SARS-CoV-2 感染的传染性。我们进行回归分析来估计与 RT-qPCR 阳性检测的 Ct 值相关的关联。与 Beta 感染相比,Alpha 和 Delta 感染的 Ct 循环分别高出 2.56 倍(95%CI:2.35-2.78)和 4.92 倍(95%CI:4.67-5.16)。Ct 值随年龄逐渐下降,10 岁以下儿童的 Ct 值尤其高,表明幼儿的传染性较低。10 岁以下儿童的 Ct 循环比 10-19 岁儿童高 2.18 倍(95%CI:1.88-2.48)。与未接种疫苗的个体相比,接种一剂或两剂疫苗的个体的 Ct 值较高,但随着第二剂接种后时间的推移,Ct 值逐渐下降。与无既往感染的个体相比,有既往感染的个体的 Ct 值高 2.07 倍(95%CI:1.42-2.72)。因症状而检测的个体的 Ct 值最低,因旅行要求而检测的个体的 Ct 值最高。Delta 变体比 Beta 变体具有更强的传染性。既往免疫,无论是由疫苗接种还是既往感染引起,都与突破性感染的传染性降低有关,但随着第二剂接种后时间的推移,传染性逐渐增加。