School of Public Health and Management, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China.
College of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China.
Chaos. 2022 Sep;32(9):093135. doi: 10.1063/5.0100315.
Higher-order interactions have significant implications for the dynamics of competing epidemic spreads. In this paper, a competing spread model for two simplicial irreversible epidemics (i.e., susceptible-infected-removed epidemics) on higher-order networks is proposed. The simplicial complexes are based on synthetic (including homogeneous and heterogeneous) and real-world networks. The spread process of two epidemics is theoretically analyzed by extending the microscopic Markov chain approach. When the two epidemics have the same 2-simplex infection rate and the 1-simplex infection rate of epidemic A ( ) is fixed at zero, an increase in the 1-simplex infection rate of epidemic B ( ) causes a transition from continuous growth to sharp growth in the spread of epidemic B with . When > 0, the growth of epidemic B is always continuous. With the increase of , the outbreak threshold of epidemic B is delayed. When the difference in 1-simplex infection rates between the two epidemics reaches approximately three times, the stronger side obviously dominates. Otherwise, the coexistence of the two epidemics is always observed. When the 1-simplex infection rates are symmetrical, the increase in competition will accelerate the spread process and expand the spread area of both epidemics; when the 1-simplex infection rates are asymmetrical, the spread area of one epidemic increases with an increase in the 1-simplex infection rate from this epidemic while the other decreases. Finally, the influence of 2-simplex infection rates on the competing spread is discussed. An increase in 2-simplex infection rates leads to sharp growth in one of the epidemics.
高阶相互作用对竞争传染病传播的动态有重大影响。本文提出了一个在高阶网络上的两个单纯不可逆转传染病(即易感-感染-移除传染病)竞争传播模型。单纯复形基于合成(包括同质和异质)和真实网络。通过扩展微观马尔可夫链方法,从理论上分析了两个传染病的传播过程。当两个传染病具有相同的 2-单纯形感染率,且传染病 A 的 1-单纯形感染率 ( )固定为 0 时,传染病 B 的 1-单纯形感染率 ( )的增加会导致传染病 B 的传播从连续增长转变为急剧增长,其中 。当 > 0 时,传染病 B 的增长总是连续的。随着 的增加,传染病 B 的爆发阈值会延迟。当两个传染病的 1-单纯形感染率差异约为三倍时,较强的一方明显占主导地位。否则,总是会观察到两种传染病的共存。当 1-单纯形感染率对称时,竞争的增加会加速传播过程并扩大两种传染病的传播范围;当 1-单纯形感染率不对称时,随着来自该传染病的 1-单纯形感染率的增加,一种传染病的传播范围会增加,而另一种传染病的传播范围会减少。最后,讨论了 2-单纯形感染率对竞争传播的影响。2-单纯形感染率的增加会导致其中一种传染病的急剧增长。