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阿萨姆邦疫情期间的困境迁移与非自愿返乡:特征与决定因素

Distress Migration and Involuntary Return During Pandemic in Assam: Characteristics and Determinants.

作者信息

Borah Girimallika

机构信息

Department of Geography, Cotton University, Guwahati, Assam 781001 India.

出版信息

Indian J Labour Econ. 2022;65(3):801-820. doi: 10.1007/s41027-022-00392-8. Epub 2022 Sep 27.

DOI:10.1007/s41027-022-00392-8
PMID:36187083
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9514687/
Abstract

Novel Coronavirus disease and the resulting lockdown has created a unique situation of involuntary return migration among labourers in India. It provided a stage for conducting a retrospective study to analyse determinants of return behaviour among internal migrants upon their return. The aim of the paper is to carry out an empirical verification of socio-economic profile of migrant workers, information about destination, determinants of return migration, and future aspirations of the return migrants. Based on a telephonic semi-structured open-ended questionnaire-based survey conducted in February and March 2021 among 238 non-returnees and return migrants of Sonitpur District of Assam, we found that four states from South India, namely-Karnataka, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala, are the most attractive destinations for migrants from Sonitpur. The bulk of the migrants are young, unmarried men with minimal education, and majority come from households with no cultivable land. About 30% of the returnees went back to their previous destinations within a year, while a sizable portion of non-returnees are willing to return. Not all migrants returned home during pandemic. After controlling for all variables, it was revealed that the percentage of income sent as remittances, the availability of a job card by migrants' households, status of family migration, income, and the number of working days per week are all significantly related to migrants' decision to return. We suggest a hypothesis based on the observations that during times of crisis, migrants with other economic options at sources, such as a job card, are more likely to return.

摘要

新型冠状病毒病及其引发的封锁在印度劳工中造成了一种非自愿返乡的独特情况。这为开展一项回顾性研究提供了契机,以分析国内移民返乡后的返乡行为决定因素。本文的目的是对移民工人的社会经济概况、目的地信息、返乡决定因素以及返乡移民的未来期望进行实证验证。基于2021年2月和3月对阿萨姆邦索尼布尔区238名未返乡者和返乡移民进行的电话半结构化开放式问卷调查,我们发现印度南部的四个邦,即卡纳塔克邦、马哈拉施特拉邦、泰米尔纳德邦和喀拉拉邦,是索尼布尔移民最具吸引力的目的地。大部分移民是年轻的未婚男性,受教育程度较低,且大多数来自没有可耕地的家庭。约30%的返乡者在一年内回到了他们之前的目的地,而相当一部分未返乡者也愿意回去。并非所有移民都在疫情期间返乡。在控制了所有变量后发现,作为汇款寄出的收入百分比、移民家庭是否拥有工作卡、家庭移民状况、收入以及每周工作日数量都与移民的返乡决定显著相关。基于这些观察结果,我们提出一个假设:在危机时期,在原籍地有其他经济选择(如工作卡)的移民更有可能返乡。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac6b/9514687/a292c1af5a85/41027_2022_392_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac6b/9514687/42f777b7d66b/41027_2022_392_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac6b/9514687/c2e05d843930/41027_2022_392_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac6b/9514687/a292c1af5a85/41027_2022_392_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac6b/9514687/42f777b7d66b/41027_2022_392_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac6b/9514687/c2e05d843930/41027_2022_392_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac6b/9514687/a292c1af5a85/41027_2022_392_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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A theory of migration: the aspirations-capabilities framework.一种移民理论:愿望—能力框架。
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Demography. 2015 Dec;52(6):1853-68. doi: 10.1007/s13524-015-0429-7.
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Return Migration as Failure or Success?: The Determinants of Return Migration Intentions Among Moroccan Migrants in Europe.返乡是失败还是成功?欧洲摩洛哥移民返乡意愿的决定因素
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Labor migration and risk aversion in less developed countries.欠发达国家的劳动力迁移与风险规避
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