Predictors of In-hospital Mortality in Patients Presenting with Acute Coronary Syndromes in a Tertiary Cardiac Center in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

The outcomes of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) vary internationally, given regional differences in patient co-morbidities, access to health care, interventional procedures and adherence to guideline-based management practices. This study aimed to identify the predictors of mortality from a large ACS registry of patients admitted to a tertiary care cardiac centre in Dhaka, Bangladesh. This was a hospital record based retrospective cross sectional observational study that included all patients presenting with ACS to Ibrahim Cardiac Hospital and Research Institute, Dhaka, Bangladesh from January 2013 to December 2013. Data were collected from cardiac catheterization laboratory database and hospital discharge records. Statistical analysis was done using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 16.0. A p value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Ethical approval was obtained by Institutional Review Board of the hospital. A total of 1914 ACS patients were studied: 39.8% presented with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), 39.7% with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) and 20.5% with unstable angina (UA). There were 146 in-hospital deaths (7.6%). Mortality was highest among STEMI patients (10.5%), followed by NSTEMI (8.1%) and UA (1.03%). The mean age of expired patients was significantly higher than that of those who survived (64.82±12.14 years vs. 57.32±11.99 years; p<0.001). Male patients were 71.4%, with no significant gender differences observed between expired and surviving groups. Age >50 years {odds ratio (OR) 2.56, p=0.005}, chronic kidney disease (CKD) (OR 2.1, p<0.001), shock (OR 16.82, p<0.001), left ventricular failure (LVF) (OR 2.43, p<0.001) and STEMI (OR 1.92, p=0.002) were independent predictors of mortality among ACS patients. Although diabetes per se was not associated with mortality (OR 1.3; 95% CI=0.89-1.91; p=0.169), uncontrolled diabetes defined as HbA1c levels ≥7.5% had significant risk of mortality (OR 51.4, p<0.001). ACS patients who did not undergo angiography (OR 16.4; p<0.001) or PCI (OR 18.9; p<0.001) had greater risk of mortality. ACS patients complicated with shock, LVF, uncontrolled diabetes and CKD had increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Improved outcomes may be likely with prompt angiography and PCI during index admission. This study is a preliminary initiative, and prospective multi-centre registries with nation-wide involvement are warranted.