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沿海城镇居民因洪灾导致的搬迁驱动因素:来自美国东海岸的启示。

Drivers of flood-induced relocation among coastal urban residents: Insight from the US east coast.

机构信息

Department of Geography, Center for Coastal Studies, Virginia Tech, 207 Wallace Hall, 295 West Campus Dr., Blacksburg, VA, 24061, USA.

Department of Statistics, Statistical Applications and Innovations Group, Virginia Tech, 403A Hutcheson Hall, Blacksburg, VA, 24061, USA.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2023 Jan 1;325(Pt A):116429. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116429. Epub 2022 Oct 14.

DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116429
PMID:36244285
Abstract

Many coastal urban areas are experiencing impacts of accelerated chronic and episodic flooding on the built environment and people's livelihoods and quality of life. These impacts sometimes exceed the households' adaptive and coping capacities to deal with flooding, prompting residents to consider relocation. It is unclear how urban dwellers living in flood-prone locations perceive this adaptation strategy and under what flood-driven circumstances they would consider permanently moving. This paper provides empirical evidence on relocation preferences among urban residents along the U.S. East Coast. It further explores how this decision is influenced by socioeconomic determinants, experiences with flood exposure, comprehensive concerns with flooding, and preferences for relocation destinations. We administered an online survey to 1450 residents living in flood-prone urban areas across multiple states, from New York to Florida, and analyzed the results using descriptive and inferential statistics. Results show that almost half of respondents would consider relocating due to coastal flooding, with only 13 percent declining this option. The results show that age and race, several determinants of place attachment, problem-solving capacity, and flood-related household- and community-level concerns play a significant role in willingness to relocate.

摘要

许多沿海城市地区正经历着加速的慢性和间歇性洪水对城市环境以及居民生计和生活质量的影响。这些影响有时超出了家庭应对洪水的适应和应对能力,促使居民考虑搬迁。目前尚不清楚居住在洪水多发地区的城市居民如何看待这种适应策略,以及在什么情况下他们会考虑永久搬迁。本文提供了美国东海岸城市居民搬迁偏好的经验证据。它进一步探讨了这一决策如何受到社会经济决定因素、洪水暴露经历、对洪水的综合关注以及搬迁目的地偏好的影响。我们向居住在纽约到佛罗里达州多个州洪水多发地区的 1450 名居民进行了在线调查,并使用描述性和推断性统计方法对结果进行了分析。结果表明,近一半的受访者会因为沿海洪水而考虑搬迁,只有 13%的人拒绝了这一选择。结果表明,年龄、种族、地方依恋的几个决定因素、解决问题的能力以及与洪水有关的家庭和社区层面的问题,在搬迁意愿方面发挥了重要作用。

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