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沿海洪泛区的老龄化问题:探究老年居民的健康和福祉风险。

Aging in Flood-Prone Coastal Areas: Discerning the Health and Well-Being Risk for Older Residents.

机构信息

Department of Geography, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA.

Department of Population Health Sciences, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2018 Dec 18;15(12):2900. doi: 10.3390/ijerph15122900.

Abstract

Coastal communities are increasingly exposed to more intense and frequent hurricanes, accelerated sea-level rise, and prolonged tidal inundation, yet they are often a preferred retirement destination for older adults vulnerable to flooding and extreme weather events. The unique physical and psychosocial challenges of older population age 65 and over may affect their level of preparedness, capacity to cope with, and ability to respond and recover from a hazard event. Despite the clear vulnerabilities of older residents living in high-risk areas when compared to younger coastal populations, there is a lack of empirical research on the integrated flood risks to this population group in the coastal context. This paper provides a holistic assessment of this emerging problem along the U.S. East Coast by measuring the exposure of older population to sea level rise and storm surge in coastal counties. It further evaluates how age-related vulnerabilities differ between rural and urban settings using the case study approach and geospatial and statistical analysis the paper also conducts a review of scientific literature to identify gaps in the current understanding of health and well-being risks to aging populations in coastal communities. The results show that older populations are unevenly distributed along the U.S. East Coast with some states and counties having significantly higher percent of residents age 65 and older living along the shoreline. Many places with larger older populations have other attributes that further shape the vulnerability of this age group such as older housing stock, disabilities, and lower income and that often differ between rural and urban settings. Lastly, our study found that vast majority of research on aging in high-risk coastal locations has been conducted in relation to major disasters and almost none on the recurrent nuisance flooding that is already affecting many coastal communities.

摘要

沿海社区越来越容易受到更强烈和更频繁的飓风、海平面加速上升和长时间潮水泛滥的影响,但它们往往是容易受到洪水和极端天气事件影响的老年人群体的首选退休目的地。65 岁及以上的老年人口面临独特的身体和社会心理挑战,这些挑战可能会影响他们的准备程度、应对能力以及应对和从灾害事件中恢复的能力。尽管与年轻的沿海人口相比,生活在高风险地区的老年居民明显脆弱,但对于这一人群在沿海地区面临的综合洪水风险,缺乏实证研究。本文通过测量沿海县老年人口面临海平面上升和风暴潮的风险,对美国东海岸这一新兴问题进行了全面评估。它进一步评估了使用案例研究方法和地理空间及统计分析方法,在农村和城市环境中,年龄相关的脆弱性有何不同。本文还对科学文献进行了综述,以确定当前对沿海社区老年人口健康和福祉风险的理解存在哪些差距。结果表明,老年人口在美国东海岸的分布不均匀,一些州和郡的沿海地区有明显更高比例的 65 岁及以上居民。许多老年人口较多的地方还有其他因素进一步塑造了这一年龄组的脆弱性,例如较旧的住房存量、残疾和较低的收入,而这些因素在农村和城市环境中往往存在差异。最后,我们的研究发现,在高风险沿海地区与老龄化相关的研究绝大多数都是针对重大灾害进行的,几乎没有针对已经影响许多沿海社区的经常性滋扰性洪水进行的研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/91e1/6313428/61cfe2dad55c/ijerph-15-02900-g001.jpg

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