Riley Pete, Caplan Ronald M, Downs Cooper, Linker Jon A, Lionello Roberto
Predictive Science Inc San Diego CA USA.
J Geophys Res Space Phys. 2022 Aug;127(8):e2022JA030261. doi: 10.1029/2022JA030261. Epub 2022 Aug 13.
The previous three solar cycles have ended in progressively more quiescent conditions, suggesting a continual slide into an ever deeper minimum state. Although the Sun's magnetic field is undoubtedly responsible for this quiescence, it is not clear how changes in its structure and strength modulate the properties of the solar wind. In this study, we compare the statistical properties of the solar wind during the three most recent minima (08/1996, 12/2008, and 12/2019) and develop global MHD model solutions to help interpret these observations. We find that, counter-intuitively, the statistical properties of the solar wind for the most recent minimum lie midway between the 08/1996 and 12/2008 minima. For example, while the minimum speed dropped by 40 km s between 08/1996 and 12/2008, they rose by 20 km s around the 12/2019 minimum. From the model results, we infer that the 12/2008 and 12/2019 minima were structurally similar to one another, with the presence of corotating interaction regions driven by equatorial coronal holes, while the 08/1996 minimum represented a more "standard" tilted dipole configuration associated with those of earlier space age minima. Comparison of the statistical properties derived from the model results with data suggest several opportunities to improve model parameters, as well as to apply more sophisticated modeling approaches. Overall, however, the model results capture the essential features of the observations and, thus, allow us to infer the global structure of the inner heliosphere, of which the measurements provide only a glimpse.
此前的三个太阳活动周期都在逐渐更平静的状态下结束,这表明太阳正持续滑向一个越来越深的极小期状态。尽管太阳磁场无疑是造成这种平静状态的原因,但目前尚不清楚其结构和强度的变化如何调节太阳风的特性。在本研究中,我们比较了最近三次极小期(1996年8月、2008年12月和2019年12月)期间太阳风的统计特性,并开发了全球磁流体动力学(MHD)模型解来帮助解释这些观测结果。我们发现,与直觉相反,最近一次极小期的太阳风统计特性处于1996年8月和2008年12月极小期之间。例如,1996年8月至2008年12月期间,最小风速下降了40千米/秒,而在2019年12月极小期前后,最小风速上升了20千米/秒。从模型结果来看,我们推断2008年12月和2019年12月的极小期在结构上彼此相似,存在由赤道冕洞驱动的共转相互作用区域,而1996年8月的极小期则代表了一种更“标准”的倾斜偶极子构型,类似于早期太空时代极小期的构型。将模型结果得出的统计特性与数据进行比较,发现有几个机会可以改进模型参数,以及应用更复杂的建模方法。然而,总体而言,模型结果捕捉到了观测的基本特征,因此使我们能够推断内日球层的全球结构,而测量结果仅能提供该结构的一瞥。