Department of Pediatrics, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, 646000, Luzhou, Sichuan, China.
Department of Pediatrics, Bazhong Central Hospital, 636000, Bazhong, Sichuan, China.
BMC Pediatr. 2022 Oct 19;22(1):606. doi: 10.1186/s12887-022-03657-9.
IgA vasculitis (IgAV) is a common type of vasculitis seen in children. IgAV recurrence can result in chronic kidney disease. We aimed to explore the association between common laboratory indices and IgAV recurrence in children, and to establish a prediction model.
This retrospective study included children with diagnosed with IgAV hospitalized in Bazhong Central Hospital, Sichuan, from January 2014 to December 2019. Children were assigned to two groups based on IgAV recurrence, and baseline clinical data were collected for comparison. A logistic regression model to predict IgAV recurrence was established. The receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to detect performance of the predictive model.
This study included 193 children (39 [20.2%], recurrence group; 154 [79.8%], non-recurrence group). Based on multivariate regression analysis, the duration of illness and joint involvement were independent predictors of IgAV recurrence in children (P < 0.05). No significant differences were observed in common laboratory indices (P > 0.05). The AUC of the prediction model was 0.766 (P < 0.001) with sensitivity of 74.4% and specificity of 68.8%.
Common laboratory indices were not associated with recurrence of IgAV in children.
IgA 血管炎(IgAV)是儿童中常见的血管炎类型。IgAV 复发可导致慢性肾脏病。我们旨在探讨常见实验室指标与儿童 IgAV 复发之间的关系,并建立预测模型。
本回顾性研究纳入了 2014 年 1 月至 2019 年 12 月期间在四川巴中市中心医院确诊为 IgAV 的住院患儿。根据 IgAV 复发情况将患儿分为两组,并收集基线临床数据进行比较。建立预测 IgAV 复发的逻辑回归模型。绘制受试者工作特征曲线。采用曲线下面积(AUC)检测预测模型的性能。
本研究共纳入 193 例患儿(39 例[20.2%],复发组;154 例[79.8%],非复发组)。基于多变量回归分析,疾病持续时间和关节受累是儿童 IgAV 复发的独立预测因素(P<0.05)。常见实验室指标无显著差异(P>0.05)。预测模型的 AUC 为 0.766(P<0.001),敏感性为 74.4%,特异性为 68.8%。
常见实验室指标与儿童 IgAV 复发无关。