Lieberman E, Ryan K J, Monson R R, Schoenbaum S C
N Engl J Med. 1987 Sep 17;317(12):743-8. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198709173171206.
In a hospital-based cohort of 8903 black and white women, we investigated medical and socioeconomic risk factors that may explain the known increase in premature births among black women. Among the medical conditions examined, only the maternal hematocrit level (or some related factor) explained a substantial proportion (60 percent) of the increased rate of premature births to black women. Four economic, demographic, and behavioral predictors of prematurity were also examined: age less than 20 years, single marital status, receiving welfare support, and not having graduated from high school. The number of these socioeconomic risk factors occurring in a woman was strongly predictive of premature birth of her infant, regardless of the particular risk factors present. The presence of any one factor was associated with a moderate increase in the risk of prematurity (7.0 percent as compared with 4.6 percent with no risk factors present); the presence of two or more characteristics was associated with a much higher risk (11.2 percent). When the number of these four risk factors pertaining to an individual woman was taken into account, race was no longer a significant predictor of premature birth (odds ratio, 1.22; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.94 to 1.59). When both the maternal hematocrit level and the number of the four socioeconomic risk factors were taken into account, essentially all of the racial variation in prematurity was explained, with the odds ratio for prematurity among blacks being 1.03 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.79 to 1.35). We conclude that the racial difference in the rate of premature birth is attributable to specific medical and socioeconomic characteristics.
在一项以医院为基础、涉及8903名黑人和白人女性的队列研究中,我们调查了可能解释黑人女性早产率已知上升现象的医学和社会经济风险因素。在所检查的医学状况中,只有孕妇血细胞比容水平(或某些相关因素)解释了黑人女性早产率上升的很大一部分(60%)。还研究了早产的四个经济、人口统计学和行为预测因素:年龄小于20岁、单身婚姻状况、接受福利支持以及未高中毕业。女性出现的这些社会经济风险因素的数量强烈预示着其婴儿早产,无论存在何种特定风险因素。存在任何一个因素都与早产风险适度增加相关(有一个风险因素时为7.0%,无风险因素时为4.6%);存在两个或更多特征则与高得多的风险相关(11.2%)。当考虑到与个体女性相关的这四个风险因素的数量时,种族不再是早产的显著预测因素(优势比为1.22;95%置信区间为0.94至1.59)。当同时考虑孕妇血细胞比容水平和四个社会经济风险因素的数量时,基本上解释了早产方面所有的种族差异,黑人早产的优势比为1.03(95%置信区间为0.79至1.35)。我们得出结论,早产率的种族差异可归因于特定的医学和社会经济特征。