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SARS 疫情在中国的相关干预措施的经济影响。

The Economic Impact of the SARS Epidemic with Related Interventions in China.

机构信息

Center for Quantitative Economics, Jilin University, Changchun 130012, China.

School of Economics and Management, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241000, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Oct 14;19(20):13263. doi: 10.3390/ijerph192013263.


DOI:10.3390/ijerph192013263
PMID:36293864
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9603420/
Abstract

Epidemics represent a threat to human life and economy. Meanwhile, medical and non-medical approaches to fight against them may result in additional economic shocks. In this paper, we examine the economic impact of the 2003 SARS outbreak in China and associated government policies. Although the epidemic caused a substantial economic loss in the short term, the interventions for medical purposes positively impacted the economy of the severely affected regions through the increase in investments such as other fiscal stimuli. There is strong and robust evidence suggesting that the SARS epidemic and its associated countermeasure policies boosted local output by around 4% and industrial production by around 5%. The positive growth was mainly derived from the increase in investment and government activity, especially government expenditure. Besides that, lagged impacts were particularly pronounced to the economic system and lasted for longer even than the epidemic period in a biological sense. We attribute this to the relatively aggressive stance of policymakers in the face of the epidemic situation.

摘要

传染病对人类生命和经济构成威胁。同时,对抗传染病的医疗和非医疗方法可能会导致额外的经济冲击。在本文中,我们考察了 2003 年中国 SARS 疫情爆发及其相关政府政策对经济的影响。尽管疫情在短期内造成了巨大的经济损失,但出于医疗目的的干预措施通过增加投资等其他财政刺激措施,对受疫情严重影响地区的经济产生了积极影响。有强有力的证据表明,非典疫情及其相关对策政策使当地产出增长了约 4%,工业生产增长了约 5%。这种积极增长主要源于投资和政府活动的增加,特别是政府支出的增加。除此之外,滞后效应在经济系统中表现得尤为明显,其持续时间甚至比疫情在生物学意义上的持续时间还要长。我们将这归因于决策者在面对疫情时采取了相对激进的立场。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f9dc/9603420/cfd580988508/ijerph-19-13263-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f9dc/9603420/3a90ebd2faa9/ijerph-19-13263-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f9dc/9603420/cfd580988508/ijerph-19-13263-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f9dc/9603420/3a90ebd2faa9/ijerph-19-13263-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f9dc/9603420/cfd580988508/ijerph-19-13263-g002.jpg

相似文献

[1]
The Economic Impact of the SARS Epidemic with Related Interventions in China.

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022-10-14

[2]
The Impacts on Health, Society, and Economy of SARS and H7N9 Outbreaks in China: A Case Comparison Study.

J Environ Public Health. 2018-6-28

[3]
A double epidemic model for the SARS propagation.

BMC Infect Dis. 2003-9-10

[4]
Interventions to support the resilience and mental health of frontline health and social care professionals during and after a disease outbreak, epidemic or pandemic: a mixed methods systematic review.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020-11-5

[5]
[To develop a model on severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemics to quantitatively evaluate the effectiveness of intervention measures].

Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2005-3

[6]
Modelling input-output flows of severe acute respiratory syndrome in mainland China.

BMC Public Health. 2016-2-29

[7]
Assessing the Impacts of COVID-19 on the Industrial Sectors and Economy of China.

Risk Anal. 2022-1

[8]
Research on Monetary Policy Implementation and Industrial Structure Transformation Under COVID-19-Evidence From Eight Economic Zones in Mainland China.

Front Public Health. 2022

[9]
An Empirical Perception of Economic Resilience Responded to the COVID-19 Epidemic Outbreak in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration, China: Characterization and Interaction.

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021-10-7

[10]
Public Health Crises In Comparison: China's Epidemic Response Policies From SARS To COVID-19.

Glob Public Health. 2021

本文引用的文献

[1]
From SARS to COVID-19: The evolving role of China-ASEAN production network.

Econ Model. 2021-8

[2]
The Economic Impact of the SARS-COV-2 (COVID-19) Pandemic in Spain.

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021-4-28

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Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

J Public Econ. 2020-11

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Has SARS infected the property market? Evidence from Hong Kong.

J Urban Econ. 2008-1

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A systematic review of the social and economic burden of influenza in low- and middle-income countries.

Vaccine. 2015-11-27

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J Health Econ. 2014-7

[7]
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Trop Med Int Health. 2009-11

[8]
The economic impact of SARS: how does the reality match the predictions?

Health Policy. 2008-10

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SARS-related perceptions in Hong Kong.

Emerg Infect Dis. 2005-3

[10]
Updating the accounts: global mortality of the 1918-1920 "Spanish" influenza pandemic.

Bull Hist Med. 2002

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