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通过概率分布对新冠死亡率进行统计分析。

Statistical analysis of Covid-19 mortality rate via probability distributions.

机构信息

Department of Statistics, University of Peshawar, Peshawar, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Haripur, Haripur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2022 Oct 27;17(10):e0274133. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0274133. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Among other diseases, Covid 19 creates a critical situation around the world. Five layers have been recorded so far, resulting in the loss of millions of lives in different countries. The virus was thought to be contagious, so the government initially severely forced citizens to keep a distance from each other. Since then, several vaccines have been developed that play an important role in controlling mortality. In the case of Covid-19 mortality, the government should be forced to take significant steps in the form of lockdown, keeping you away or forcing citizens to vaccinate. In this paper, modeling of Covid-19 death rates is discussed via probability distributions. To delineate the performance of the best fitted model, the mortality rate of Pakistan and Afghanistan is considered. Numerical results conclude that the NFW model can be used to predict the mortality rate for Covid-19 patients more accurately than other probability models.

摘要

在其他疾病中,Covid-19 在全球范围内造成了危急状况。到目前为止,已经记录了五个层次,导致不同国家数百万人丧生。该病毒被认为具有传染性,因此政府最初强烈要求公民彼此保持距离。此后,开发了几种疫苗,这些疫苗在控制死亡率方面发挥了重要作用。在 Covid-19 死亡率方面,政府应该以封锁的形式采取重大措施,让您远离或迫使公民接种疫苗。在本文中,通过概率分布讨论了 Covid-19 死亡率的建模。为了说明最佳拟合模型的性能,考虑了巴基斯坦和阿富汗的死亡率。数值结果表明,NFW 模型比其他概率模型更能准确预测 Covid-19 患者的死亡率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f642/9612498/3132b0c904ac/pone.0274133.g001.jpg

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