School of Psychology, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia.
Department of Applied Psychology and Human Development, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada M5S 1V6.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2022 Dec 19;377(1866):20210333. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2021.0333. Epub 2022 Oct 31.
Humans possess the remarkable capacity to imagine possible worlds and to demarcate possibilities and impossibilities in reasoning. We can think about what might happen in the future and consider what the present would look like had the past turned out differently. We reason about cause and effect, weigh up alternative courses of action and regret our mistakes. In this theme issue, leading experts from across the life sciences provide ground-breaking insights into the proximate questions of how thinking about possibilities works and develops, and the ultimate questions of its adaptive functions and evolutionary history. Together, the contributions delineate neurophysiological, cognitive and social mechanisms involved in mentally simulating possible states of reality; and point to conceptual changes in the understanding of singular and multiple possibilities during human development. The contributions also demonstrate how thinking about possibilities can augment learning, decision-making and judgement, and highlight aspects of the capacity that appear to be shared with non-human animals and aspects that may be uniquely human. Throughout the issue, it becomes clear that many developmental milestones achieved during childhood, and many of the most significant evolutionary and cultural triumphs of the human species, can only be understood with reference to increasingly complex reasoning about possibilities. This article is part of the theme issue 'Thinking about possibilities: mechanisms, ontogeny, functions and phylogeny'.
人类拥有想象可能世界的非凡能力,并在推理中划定可能性和不可能性的界限。我们可以思考未来可能发生的事情,也可以设想过去的情况不同会使现在的样子如何。我们根据因果关系进行推理,权衡各种行动方案,并为自己的错误感到后悔。在本期特刊中,来自生命科学各个领域的领先专家提供了开创性的见解,探讨了思考可能性的机制和发展,以及其适应功能和进化历史的终极问题。这些贡献共同描绘了在心理上模拟现实可能状态所涉及的神经生理、认知和社会机制;并指出了人类发展过程中对单一和多种可能性的理解的概念变化。这些贡献还表明,思考可能性如何能够增强学习、决策和判断,并强调了与非人类动物共享的能力方面,以及可能是人类特有的能力方面。在整个特刊中,很明显,许多在儿童时期取得的发展里程碑,以及人类物种最重要的进化和文化胜利中的许多,只有通过参考关于可能性的日益复杂的推理才能理解。本文是特刊“思考可能性:机制、个体发生、功能和系统发生”的一部分。