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非洲大型食肉动物种群评估的趋势和偏差:从二十年的研究系统综述中确定优先事项和机会。

Trends and biases in African large carnivore population assessments: identifying priorities and opportunities from a systematic review of two decades of research.

机构信息

Wildlife Conservation Research Unit (WildCRU), Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.

Panthera, New York, United States of America.

出版信息

PeerJ. 2022 Nov 25;10:e14354. doi: 10.7717/peerj.14354. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

African large carnivores have undergone significant range and population declines over recent decades. Although conservation planning and the management of threatened species requires accurate assessments of population status and monitoring of trends, there is evidence that biodiversity monitoring may not be evenly distributed or occurring where most needed. Here, we provide the first systematic review of African large carnivore population assessments published over the last two decades (2000-2020), to investigate trends in research effort and identify knowledge gaps. We used generalised linear models (GLMs) and generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs) to identify taxonomic and geographical biases, and investigated biases associated with land use type and author nationality. Research effort was significantly biased towards lion () and against striped hyaena (), despite the latter being the species with the widest continental range. African wild dog () also exhibited a negative bias in research attention, although this was partly explained by its relatively restricted distribution. The number of country assessments for a species was significantly positively associated with its geographic range in that country. Population assessments were biased towards southern and eastern Africa, particularly South Africa and Kenya. Northern, western, and central Africa were generally under-represented. Most studies were carried out in photographic tourism protected areas under government management, while non-protected and trophy hunting areas received less attention. Outside South Africa, almost half of studies (41%) did not include authors from the study country, suggesting that significant opportunities exist for capacity building in range states. Overall, large parts of Africa remain under-represented in the literature, and opportunities exist for further research on most species and in most countries. We develop recommendations for actions aimed at overcoming the identified biases and provide researchers, practitioners, and policymakers with priorities to help inform future research and monitoring agendas.

摘要

非洲大型食肉动物在最近几十年经历了范围和数量的显著减少。尽管保护规划和受威胁物种的管理需要对种群状况进行准确评估和监测趋势,但有证据表明,生物多样性监测可能分布不均,或者没有出现在最需要的地方。在这里,我们对过去二十年(2000-2020 年)发表的非洲大型食肉动物种群评估进行了首次系统综述,以调查研究工作的趋势并确定知识差距。我们使用广义线性模型(GLMs)和广义线性混合模型(GLMMs)来识别分类和地理偏见,并调查与土地利用类型和作者国籍相关的偏见。尽管条纹鬣狗()是种属范围最广的物种,但研究工作的重点明显偏向狮子(),而不是后者。非洲野犬()的研究关注度也呈负向偏见,尽管这在一定程度上是由于其分布相对受限。一个物种的国家评估数量与其在该国的地理范围呈显著正相关。种群评估偏向于南部和东部非洲,特别是南非和肯尼亚。北部、西部和中部非洲的代表性普遍不足。大多数研究都是在政府管理的摄影旅游保护区进行的,而未受保护和狩猎区则受到较少关注。在南非以外,近一半的研究(41%)没有包括来自研究国家的作者,这表明在范围国家有很大的能力建设机会。总体而言,非洲的大部分地区在文献中仍然代表性不足,并且大多数物种和大多数国家都有进一步研究的机会。我们提出了克服已确定偏见的行动建议,并为研究人员、从业者和决策者提供了优先事项,以帮助为未来的研究和监测议程提供信息。

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