Zakosek Milos, Bulatovic Dusan, Pavlovic Vedrana, Filipovic Aleksandar, Igic Aleksa, Galun Danijel, Jovanovic Darko, Sisevic Jelena, Masulovic Dragan
Center for Radiology, University Clinical Center of Serbia, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.
Institute of Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.
J Clin Med. 2022 Nov 29;11(23):7055. doi: 10.3390/jcm11237055.
Effective biliary tree decompression plays a central role in the palliation of malignant biliary obstruction (MBO). When endoscopic drainage is unfeasible or unsuccessful, percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage (PTBD) is the method of choice and preferred treatment approach in advanced hilar MBO. The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) reflects the patient's immunonutritional status, while the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) reflects the patient's inflammation status. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic value of preprocedural PNI and NLR on short-term survival in the advanced stage MBO population threatened with PTBD and to characterize the differences in immunonutritional and inflammatory status between 60-day survivors and non-survivors, as well as analyze other variables influencing short-term survival.
This single-center retrospective study was conducted on patients undergoing palliative PTBD caused by MBO as a definitive therapeutic treatment between March 2020 and February 2022. After the procedure, patients were followed until the end of August 2022.
A total of 136 patients with malignant biliary obstruction were included in the study. Based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, optimal cut off-values for NLR (3) and PNI (36.7) were determined. In univariate regression analysis, age, absolute neutrophil count, albumin level, NLR ≤ 3, and PNI ≥ 36.7 were significant predictors of 60-day survival. Level of obstruction and PNI ≥ 36.7 were statistically significant independent predictors of 60-day survival in a multivariate regression model. Using PNI ≥ 36.7 as a significant coefficient from the multivariate regression model with the addition of NLR ≤ 3 from univariate analysis, a 60-day survival score was developed.
PNI and NLR are easy to calculate from routine blood analysis, which is regularly conducted for cancer patients. As such, they represent easily available, highly reproducible, and inexpensive tests capable of expressing the severity of systemic inflammatory responses in patients with cancer. Our study highlights that preprocedural PNI and NLR values provide predictors of short-term survival in patients with MBO treated with palliative PTBD. In addition, the proposed 60-day survival score can contribute to better selection of future candidates for PTBD and recognition of high-risk patients with expected poor outcomes.
有效的胆道减压在恶性胆道梗阻(MBO)的姑息治疗中起着核心作用。当内镜引流不可行或不成功时,经皮经肝胆道引流(PTBD)是晚期肝门部MBO的首选治疗方法。预后营养指数(PNI)反映患者的免疫营养状况,而中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)反映患者的炎症状态。本研究的目的是评估术前PNI和NLR对接受PTBD治疗的晚期MBO患者短期生存的预后价值,描述60天存活者和非存活者在免疫营养和炎症状态方面的差异,并分析影响短期生存的其他变量。
本单中心回顾性研究对2020年3月至2022年2月期间因MBO接受姑息性PTBD作为确定性治疗的患者进行。术后对患者进行随访直至2022年8月底。
本研究共纳入136例恶性胆道梗阻患者。基于受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析,确定了NLR(3)和PNI(36.7)的最佳截断值。在单因素回归分析中,年龄、绝对中性粒细胞计数、白蛋白水平、NLR≤3和PNI≥36.7是60天生存的显著预测因素。在多因素回归模型中,梗阻水平和PNI≥36.7是60天生存的统计学显著独立预测因素。以PNI≥36.7作为多因素回归模型的显著系数,并加入单因素分析中的NLR≤3,制定了一个60天生存评分。
PNI和NLR易于从癌症患者定期进行的常规血液分析中计算得出。因此,它们是易于获得、高度可重复且廉价的检测方法,能够表达癌症患者全身炎症反应的严重程度。我们的研究强调,术前PNI和NLR值可作为接受姑息性PTBD治疗的MBO患者短期生存的预测指标。此外,所提出的60天生存评分有助于更好地选择未来的PTBD候选者,并识别预后不良的高危患者。