Shi Jian, Yang Yongping, Guo Yu, Ren Wu
Department of General Surgery, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin, China.
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Front Oncol. 2022 Nov 24;12:986822. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2022.986822. eCollection 2022.
Breast cancer is the most common cancer type for females and has the highest relative number of suicide cases among female-specific cancers. This study aimed to demonstrate suicide rates and changing trends and to identify risk factors for suicide among female breast cancer survivors.
Data were derived from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results database for women diagnosed with breast cancer from 2000 to 2017. Mortality rate and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated to describe the incidence rate and trend of suicide among female breast cancer survivors. Gray's test and cumulative incidence function (CIF) curves were used to assess difference of cumulative suicide incidence in subgroups. Multivariate Fine-Gray competing risk model was used to identify risk factors for individual survivors and nomogram model was used to estimate the probability of suicide.
There were 414 suicide cases among 638,547 female breast cancer survivors observed for 5,079,194 person-years, and the suicide rate and SMRs gradually increased with the year of diagnosis. Female breast cancer survivors had a higher risk of suicide than the general population (SMR = 1.19; 95% CI (1.08-1.31)). Based on the result of Fine-Gray competing risk models, age group (50-70 vs <50: HR=0.65, 95% CI:0.52-0.80; >70 vs <50: HR=0.22, 95% CI:0.15-0.32), race/ethnicity (black vs white: HR= 0.20, 95% CI: 0.11-0.36; other race vs white: HR= 0.67, 95% CI: 0.46-0.97), marital status (separated vs married: HR= 1.50, 95% CI: 1.16-1.94; single vs married: HR= 1.70, 95% CI: 1.31-2.20), stage (distant vs regional: HR= 0.30, 95% CI: 0.14-0.63), radiotherapy (Yes vs No/Unknown: HR= 0.62, 95% CI: 0.49-0.77), and molecular subtypes (HER-2 vs Luminal B (HR= 2.53, 95% CI: 1.10-5.82), TNBC vs Luminal B (HR= 2.11, 95% CI: 1.01-4.42)) were independent predictors of suicide among female breast cancer patients. A nomogram was constructed to predict the suicide probability for individual survivors with a C-index of 0.62 (95%CI: 0.59-0.66).
Female breast cancer survivors with younger age (less than 50 years old), white race, unmarried status, regional stage, HER-2 or TNBC subtype, and no radiotherapy performed were more likely to commit suicide. The clinicians and family members should pay more attention to patients with high risk factors of suicide to decrease the mortality rate.
乳腺癌是女性最常见的癌症类型,在女性特定癌症中自杀病例的相对数量最高。本研究旨在证明自杀率及其变化趋势,并确定女性乳腺癌幸存者自杀的风险因素。
数据来源于2000年至2017年诊断为乳腺癌的女性的监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库。计算死亡率和标准化死亡率比值(SMR)以描述女性乳腺癌幸存者的自杀发病率和趋势。采用Gray检验和累积发病率函数(CIF)曲线评估亚组中累积自杀发病率的差异。使用多变量Fine-Gray竞争风险模型识别个体幸存者的风险因素,并使用列线图模型估计自杀概率。
在638,547名女性乳腺癌幸存者中观察到414例自杀病例,观察人年数为5,079,194人年,自杀率和SMR随诊断年份逐渐增加。女性乳腺癌幸存者的自杀风险高于一般人群(SMR = 1.19;95%CI(1.08 - 1.31))。基于Fine-Gray竞争风险模型的结果,年龄组(50 - 70岁与<50岁:HR = 0.65,95%CI:0.52 - 0.80;>70岁与<50岁:HR = 0.22,95%CI:0.15 - 0.32)、种族/民族(黑人与白人:HR = 0.20,95%CI:0.11 - 0.36;其他种族与白人:HR = 0.67,95%CI:0.46 - 0.97)、婚姻状况(分居与已婚:HR = 1.50,95%CI:1.16 - 1.94;单身与已婚:HR = 1.70,95%CI:1.31 - 2.20)、分期(远处转移与局部:HR = 0.30,95%CI:0.14 - 0.63)、放疗(是与否/未知:HR = 0.62,95%CI:0.49 - 0.77)以及分子亚型(HER-2与Luminal B(HR = 2.53,95%CI:1.10 - 5.8),三阴性乳腺癌与Luminal B(HR = 2.11,95%CI:1.01 - 4.42))是女性乳腺癌患者自杀的独立预测因素。构建了一个列线图来预测个体幸存者的自杀概率,C指数为0.62(95%CI:0.59 - 0.66)。
年龄较小(小于50岁)、白人种族、未婚状态、局部分期、HER-2或三阴性乳腺癌亚型且未接受放疗的女性乳腺癌幸存者更有可能自杀。临床医生和家庭成员应更加关注有自杀高风险因素的患者,以降低死亡率。