Guglielmini Carlo, Crisi Paolo Emidio, Tardo Antonio Maria, Di Maggio Roberta, Contiero Barbara, Boari Andrea, Fracassi Federico, Miglio Arianna
Department of Animal Medicine, Production and Health, University of Padua, Viale dell'Università 16, 35020 Padova, Italy.
Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Teramo, Piano d'Accio, 64100 Teramo, Italy.
Animals (Basel). 2022 Dec 9;12(24):3483. doi: 10.3390/ani12243483.
This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of red cell distribution width (RDW) RDW-to-calcium ratio (RDW/Ca), neutrophils-to-lymphocytes ratio (N/L), platelets-to-lymphocytes ratio (P/L) and other easy to obtain and inexpensive hematological and biochemical parameters in dogs with acute pancreatitis. This is a multicenter, retrospective cohort study including 70 client-owned dogs. The accuracy of clinical and laboratory variables to predict short-term death (i.e., dead by 14 days) was tested by calculating the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC). Independent predictors of death were identified using the multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. The survival rate was 72.9% (51 dogs) and 19 dogs died within 14 days of admission from AP. RDW and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) had good accuracy to predict short-term dead with AUC of 0.74 and 0.70 at the cut-off of >12.7% and >42 mg/dL, respectively. According to the multivariable model, RDW (hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval [HR, 95% CI] = 5.08, 95% CI = 1.14−22.67; p = 0.03), BUN (HR = 1.00, 95% CI = 1.00−1.01; p < 0.01) and bilirubin (HR = 2.46, 95% CI = 1.38−4.39; p < 0.01) were independent predictors of death. The results indicate that RDW, BUN and bilirubin are useful predictors of short-term death in dogs with acute pancreatitis.
本研究旨在评估红细胞分布宽度(RDW)、RDW与钙比值(RDW/Ca)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(N/L)、血小板与淋巴细胞比值(P/L)以及其他易于获取且成本低廉的血液学和生化参数对急性胰腺炎犬的预后价值。这是一项多中心回顾性队列研究,纳入了70只客户自养犬。通过计算受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)来测试临床和实验室变量预测短期死亡(即14天内死亡)的准确性。使用多变量Cox比例风险回归模型确定死亡的独立预测因素。生存率为72.9%(51只犬),19只犬在急性胰腺炎入院后14天内死亡。RDW和血尿素氮(BUN)对预测短期死亡具有良好的准确性,在临界值分别>12.7%和>42mg/dL时,AUC分别为0.74和0.70。根据多变量模型,RDW(风险比和95%置信区间[HR,95%CI]=5.08,95%CI=1.14−22.67;p=0.03)、BUN(HR=1.00,95%CI=1.00−1.01;p<0.01)和胆红素(HR=2.46,95%CI=1.38−4.39;p<0.01)是死亡的独立预测因素。结果表明,RDW、BUN和胆红素是急性胰腺炎犬短期死亡的有用预测指标。