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霍乱动力学的数学模型——综述

Mathematical Models for Cholera Dynamics-A Review.

作者信息

Wang Jin

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, University of Tennessee at Chattanooga, Chattanooga, TN 37403, USA.

出版信息

Microorganisms. 2022 Nov 29;10(12):2358. doi: 10.3390/microorganisms10122358.

Abstract

Cholera remains a significant public health burden in many countries and regions of the world, highlighting the need for a deeper understanding of the mechanisms associated with its transmission, spread, and control. Mathematical modeling offers a valuable research tool to investigate cholera dynamics and explore effective intervention strategies. In this article, we provide a review of the current state in the modeling studies of cholera. Starting from an introduction of basic cholera transmission models and their applications, we survey model extensions in several directions that include spatial and temporal heterogeneities, effects of disease control, impacts of human behavior, and multi-scale infection dynamics. We discuss some challenges and opportunities for future modeling efforts on cholera dynamics, and emphasize the importance of collaborations between different modeling groups and different disciplines in advancing this research area.

摘要

霍乱在世界许多国家和地区仍然是一项重大的公共卫生负担,这凸显了深入了解与其传播、扩散和控制相关机制的必要性。数学建模为研究霍乱动态和探索有效干预策略提供了一种有价值的研究工具。在本文中,我们对霍乱建模研究的现状进行了综述。从介绍基本的霍乱传播模型及其应用开始,我们考察了模型在几个方向上的扩展,包括空间和时间异质性、疾病控制的影响、人类行为的影响以及多尺度感染动态。我们讨论了未来霍乱动态建模工作面临的一些挑战和机遇,并强调了不同建模团队和不同学科之间合作在推动这一研究领域发展中的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f565/9783556/09382beb7ded/microorganisms-10-02358-g001.jpg

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